Predictive Rate of Victory

Through Week 11 of the 2012 Regular Season

About Predictive Rate of Victory. Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. Please note Week 1 performance is measured by final year-end stats from the previous season. Also note that indicators such as the Relativity Index (REL) and our Quality Standings (QS) are not measured until two and three weeks into each season, respectively. Those are comparative stats based upon previous games that year, so we need those weeks before we can calculate those indicators. Our proprietary Relativity Index proved to have the highest Predictive Rate of Victory in football in 2011: teams better in that indicator went on to win 67.4% of all NFL games. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.

 

 Quality Stats 
WeekDPRRQRDDHIDRPYPARPYPAOHIORRSCORBENDDQBR
Week 17-90-1610-69-79-79-70-1610-68-87-9
Week 210-66-1010-66-106-106-107-98-86-1010-6
Week 37-96-105-117-97-99-74-128-86-105-11
Week 410-511-412-39-68-75-106-98-710-510-5
Week 510-48-68-67-79-59-59-510-410-49-5
Week 66-84-104-104-109-57-78-66-86-86-8
Week 73-106-78-58-56-710-37-65-84-93-10
Week 88-612-27-78-612-210-411-39-511-38-6
Week 99-511-38-69-59-58-610-49-510-49-5
Week 105-88-59-48-58-510-38-57-67-66-7
Week 116-811-36-84-1012-210-49-512-210-48-6
Regular Season81-7883-7687-7279-8095-6493-6679-8092-6788-7181-78
Rate50.9%52.2%54.7%49.7%59.7%58.5%49.7%57.9%55.3%50.9%

 

 Quality Stats 
WeekPRDTTYRRDQSRELOverallOPRTTYDDRRTTYATTOQBR
Week 19-70-160-160-00-010-611-50-160-160-160-169-7
Week 26-104-125-110-00-00-166-105-117-96-106-107-9
Week 37-96-105-110-07-90-169-76-105-117-96-107-9
Week 412-36-97-810-510-512-311-411-49-612-37-810-5
Week 511-37-78-69-59-511-38-68-67-711-38-68-6
Week 65-910-46-87-74-106-88-63-114-105-95-97-7
Week 76-79-47-69-48-510-310-311-29-49-46-78-5
Week 89-57-710-47-79-59-510-411-38-69-58-610-4
Week 911-37-78-69-510-410-410-410-46-89-59-510-4
Week 106-712-17-610-39-49-410-39-46-79-45-89-4
Week 1111-311-38-69-511-311-312-210-45-96-89-512-2
Regular Season93-6679-8071-8870-4177-5088-71105-5484-7566-9383-7669-9097-62
Rate58.5%49.7%44.7%63.1% 60.63%55.3%66.0%52.8%41.5%52.2%43.4%61.0%

 

 Commonly Used Stats 
WeekPYdsRYdsRY/APY/AIntNPP%3rd%
Week 110-69-712-410-69-75-1110-6
Week 25-116-107-96-103-54-126-9
Week 37-95-116-106-109-312-47-9
Week 45-108-76-99-610-54-1110-4
Week 57-78-67-77-78-610-49-5
Week 69-57-78-68-64-108-66-8
Week 79-45-85-88-57-511-212-1
Week 89-56-86-810-410-412-27-7
Week 97-77-77-711-37-57-711-3
Week 109-47-67-610-36-69-48-5
Week 1110-410-49-512-28-411-310-4
Regular Season87-7278-8180-7997-6281-6093-6696-61
Rate54.7%49.1%50.3%61.0%57.4%58.5%61.1%





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