Super Bowl Super Study Says Patriots, Broncos Built Like Champs

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Jan 06, 2013



3. Start Strong and Finish Strong

Again, this seems like quite a simple concept. Teams that start the season with a poor record normally are simply bad teams, as evidenced with only three Super Bowl champions starting the season with a 0-2 record.

Meanwhile, teams need to play a good team when the season carries over the playoffs, as evidenced with only two Super Bowl champions entering the playoffs with a losing streak.

The chart below details each half of the regular season for every Super Bowl regular season. The chart examines the maximum amount of games under .500 each team totaled in each half.

However, the second half schedule analysis will go in reverse order to follow the “hottest team wins” theory. Teams that never a sub .500 record will be marked “over” or “even” to avoid any confusion.

Winners

Losers

SB

Team

Start (W-L)

End (W-L)

 

SB

Team

Start (W-L)

End (W-L)

I66 Packers

Over

Over

 I66 Chiefs

Over

Over

II67 Packers

Even

-2 (0-2)

 II67 Raiders

Over

Over

III68 Jets

Over

Over

 III68 Colts

Over

Over

IV69 Chiefs

Over

-1 (0-1)

 IV69 Vikings

-1 (0-1)

-1 (0-1)

V70 Colts

Even

Over

 V70 Cowboys

Over

Over

VI71 Cowboys

Over

Over

 VI71 Dolphins

Even

-1 (1-2)

VII72 Dolphins

Over

Over

 VII72 Redskins

Over

-2 (0-2)

VIII73 Dolphins

Even

Even

 VIII73 Vikings

Over

Over

IX74 Steelers

Even

Over

 IX74 Vikings

Over

Over

X75 Steelers

Even

-1 (0-1)

 X75 Cowboys

Over

Over

XI76 Raiders

Over

Over

 XI76 Vikings

Over

Over

XII77 Cowboys

Over

Over

 XII77 Broncos

Over

-1 (0-1)

XIII78 Steelers

Over

Over

 XIII78 Cowboys

Over

Over

XIV79 Steelers

Over

Even

 XIV79 Rams

-1 (0-1)

-1 (0-1)

XV80 Raiders

-1 (2-3)

Over

 XV80 Eagles

Over

-2 (1-3)

XVI81 49ers

-1 (1-2)

Over

 XVI81 Bengals

Over

Over

XVII82 Redskins

Over

Over

 XVII82 Dolphins

Over

Over

XVIII83 Raiders

Over

Even

 XVIII83 Redskins

-1 (0-1)

Over

XIX84 49ers

Over

Over

 XIX84 Dolphins

Over

Over

XX85 Bears

Over

Over

 XX85 Patriots

-1 (2-3)

Even

XXI86 Giants

-1 (0-1)

Over

 XXI86 Broncos

Over

-1 (x4)

XXII87 Redskins

Even

Even

 XXII87 Broncos

Even

Over

XXIII88 49ers

Over

-1 (0-1)

 XXIII88 Bengals

Over

Even

XXIV89 49ers

Over

Over

 XXIV89 Broncos

Over

-2 (1-3)

XXV90 Giants

Over

Even

 XXV90 Bills

Over

-1 (0-1)

XXVI91 Redskins

Over

-1 (0-1)

 XXVI91 Bills

Over

-1 (0-1)

XXVII92 Cowboys

Over

Over

 XXVII92 Bills

Over

-1 (x2)

XXVIII93 Cowboys

-2 (0-2)

Over

 XXVIII93 Bills

Over

Over

XXIX94 49ers

Over

-1 (0-1)

 XXIX94 Chargers

Over

Even

XXX95 Cowboys

Over

Even

 XXX95 Steelers

-1 (3-4)

-1 (0-1)

XXXI96 Packers

Over

Over

 XXXI96 Patriots

-2 (0-2)

Even

XXXII97 Broncos

Over

-1 (1-2)

 XXXII97 Packers

Even

Over

XXXIII98 Broncos

Over

-1 (1-2)

 XXXIII98 Falcons

Over

Over

XXXIV99 Rams

Over

-1 (0-1)

 XXXIV99 Titans

Over

Over

XXXV00 Ravens

Over

Over

 XXXV00 Giants

Over

Over

XXXVI01 Patriots

-2 (x2)

Over

 XXXVI01 Rams

Over

Over

XXXVII02 Bucs

-1 (0-1)

Even

 XXXVII02 Raiders

Even

Over

XXXVIII03 Patriots

-1 (0-1)

Over

 XXXVIII03 Panthers

Over

Even

XXXIX04 Patriots

Over

Over

 XXXIX04 Eagles

Over

-2 (0-2)

XL05 Steelers

Over

Over

 XL05 Seahawks

-1 (0-1)

-1 (0-1)

XLI06 Colts

Over

-1 (x2)

 XLI06 Bears

Over

-1 (0-1)

XLII07 Giants

-2 (0-2)

-1 (x2) XLII07 Patriots

Over

Over

XLIII08 Steelers

Over

Even

 XLIII08 Cardinals

Even

-2 (2-4)

XLIV09 Saints

Over

-3 (0-3)

 XLIV09 Colts

Over

-2 (0-2)

XLV10 Packers

Even

Even

 XLV10 Steelers

Over

Over

XLVI11 Giants

-1 (0-1)

-2 (3-5)

 XLVI11 Patriots

Over

Over

As you can see, the recent tear of unlikely Super Bowl combatants clouds the picture just a bit. Still, the evidence supports the theory that elite teams rarely or finish the regular season in poor fashion.

This looks like a bad sign for two teams. The 2012 Texans finished the regular season 1-3, limping after double-digit losses to the Patriots, Vikings and Colts. Meanwhile, the 2012 Ravens finished the regular season 1-4, as they opted to rest their starters of the Week 17 game against the Bengals. Both teams hope to rekindle recent magic of teams flipping the switch out of nowhere, but that seems unlikely.

As for the beginning of the season, note that the 2012 Bengals and 2012 Redskins owned a 3-5 record as the season’s midpoint. No team ever reached a Super Bowl with such a poor record through eight games.

 

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