CHFF's outlook: Packers over Favrkings on Monday night

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Oct 04, 2009



Here's our look at the Green Bay-Minnesota Monday night battle, pulled from our real and spectacular Week 4 picks. We expect an outright win by a road underdog, in this case the Packers over the Favrkings. Remember, picking road underdogs to win outright is an amazing gift the Cold, Hard Football Facts have  bestowed upon the football world.
 
However, we did miss our first road underdog of the year here in Week 4, expecting Baltimore (+1.5) to squeeze out a tight win in New England. Instead, the Ravens lost by six. We were 5-0 ATS to that point.
 
Green Bay at Minnesota (-3.5)
 
Here's a pop quiz for ya: who boasts the higher passer rating this season and the higher average per attempt, Aaron Rodgers or Brett Favre, the guy who invented football at Southern Mississippi in 1991 and caused the NFL Network's Scott Hanson to orgasm live on national television last week?
 
 
 
If you said the orgasm machine Favre, you lost!
 
 
 
Rodgers wins the rating battle (97.2 to 94.5) and cruises to an easy win in the YPA battle (7.9 to 6.0).
 
 
 
The Packers enjoy a solid advantage in Passer Rating Differential, too, because they're also playing well on pass defense (fifth in Defensive Passer Rating).
 
 
 
The Packers walk into Minnesota and spoil the day – another victory for a road dog – forcing Scott Hanson to spend some quality time alone in the bathroom Sunday.
 
 
 
Green Bay 27, Minnesota 26

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