2012 Rusher Rating: Adrian Peterson No. 1; Patriots Dominate Team Rankings

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Jan 06, 2013



By Ken Crippen
Executive Director Pro Football Researchers Association (@kencrippen)

It has been another exciting regular season in the NFL and the playoffs are starting. It is time to look back at the Rusher Rating numbers for the regular season.

As expected, Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson took the crown with his 2,097-yard performance this season and a 111.99 Rusher Rating. His team just squeaked into the playoffs as he was just nine yards shy of breaking Eric Dickerson’s record of 2,105 yards, set in 1984.

New England captured the Triple Crown of team Rusher Rating: No. 1 in Offensive Rusher Rating, Defensive Rusher Rating and Rusher Rating Differential.

Houston’s Arian Foster was a close second with 108.47. Rookie running backs Alfred Morris (Washington) and Doug Martin (Tampa Bay) had impressive seasons with Rusher Ratings of 107.56 and 106.56 respectively. Both were in the top five.

Seven of the top ten backs are playing in the post-season (Peterson, Foster, Morris, Stevan Ridley, Ray Rice, Michael Turner and Marshawn Lynch).

Individual Rusher Rating

Here are the top ten rushers, based on Rusher Rating, for the 2012 regular season (minimum of 200 attempts):

Player

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

Adrian Peterson – MIN

348

2,097

6.03

12

3

111.99

Arian Foster – HOU

351

1,424

4.06

15

3

108.47

Alfred Morris – WAS

335

1,613

4.81

13

4

107.56

C.J. Spiller – BUF

207

1,244

6.01

6

2

106.58

Doug Martin – TB

319

1,454

4.56

11

1

106.56

Stevan Ridley – NE

290

1,263

4.36

12

4

106.41

Ray Rice – BAL

257

1,143

4.45

9

1

106.06

Michael Turner – ATL

222

800

3.60

10

3

105.63

Marshawn Lynch – SEA

315

1,590

5.05

11

4

105.06

Mikel Lashoure – DET

215

798

3.71

9

3

103.22

 

Cleveland rookie Trent Richardson had high expectations heading into the season. He finished in eleventh place with a very respectable Rusher Rating of 103.10.

Here are a few other backs of note, including others on playoff teams (minimum of 200 attempts):

Player

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

Trent Richardson – CLE

267

950

3.56

11

3

103.10

BenJarvus Green-Ellis – CIN

278

1,094

3.94

6

3

88.16

Frank Gore – SF

258

1,214

4.71

8

2

102.11

Vick Ballard – IND

211

814

3.86

2

3

75.47

 

Just for fun, I thought I would look at the rookie quarterbacks. Robert Griffin III was thought of as the mobile quarterback, while Andrew Luck was the pocket passer. However, Andrew Luck took the rookie Rusher Rating title with a score of 120.42.

RGIII was third among the rookies. However, to be fair, Griffin had twice the number of attempts as Luck. The statue-esque Brandon Weeden finished in fifth place with a lowly 39.94 Rusher Rating.

 

Player

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

Andrew Luck – IND

62

255

4.11

5

1

120.42

Russell Wilson – SEA

94

489

5.20

4

2

108.51

Robert Griffin III – WAS

120

815

6.79

7

9

105.41

Colin Kaepernick – SF

63

415

6.59

5

7

88.92

Brandon Weeden – CLE

27

111

4.11

0

2

39.94

 

For reference, here are the numbers for a couple of quarterbacks who are traditionally known for their rushing abilities:

Player

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

Cam Newton – CAR

127

741

5.83

8

4

122.52

Michael Vick – PHI

62

332

5.35

1

7

43.54

 

Team Rusher Rating

Finally, let’s look at team Rusher Rating numbers. The New England Patriots are not typically known for their rushing attack, but they took the Triple Crown in team Rusher Rating: Offensive, Defensive, and Differential.

It is not surprising that they are one of the top teams this year, when you combine the rushing game with the lethal arm of Tom Brady.

Seven of the top ten teams in Rusher Rating Differential are in the playoffs, with Denver coming in at number eleven.

2012 OFFENSIVE RUSHER RATING

Player

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

New England Patriots

523

2,184

4.18

25

6

112.17

New York Giants

409

1,862

4.55

18

6

109.38

Carolina Panthers

462

2,088

4.52

21

8

109.20

Washington Redskins

519

2,709

5.22

22

13

106.66

Baltimore Ravens

444

1,901

4.28

17

4

105.57

Detroit Lions

391

1,613

4.13

17

7

105.02

Houston Texans

508

2,123

4.18

19

5

103.84

Minnesota Vikings

486

2,634

5.42

16

9

102.57

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

416

1,837

6.00

13

3

100.99

San Francisco 49ers

492

2,491

5.06

17

11

100.21

New Orleans Saints

370

1,577

4.26

10

0

99.89

Seattle Seahawks

536

2,579

4.81

16

7

99.14

Buffalo Bills

442

2,217

5.02

12

7

96.56

Atlanta Falcons

378

1,397

3.70

12

4

95.87

Cincinnati Bengals

430

1,745

4.06

11

4

93.05

Tennessee Titans

378

1,687

4.46

10

6

92.90

Chicago Bears

470

1,970

4.19

11

4

92.25

Cleveland Browns

396

1,593

4.02

12

8

91.80

Miami Dolphins

440

1,802

4.10

15

13

91.06

Indianapolis Colts

440

1,671

3.80

11

5

90.13

Arizona Cardinals

352

1,204

3.42

10

6

88.34

Green Bay Packers

433

1,702

3.93

9

4

88.18

Denver Broncos

481

1,832

3.81

12

8

87.63

New York Jets

494

1,896

3.84

12

9

86.46

Kansas City Chiefs

500

2,395

4.79

9

11

84.35

Dallas Cowboys

355

1,265

3.56

8

6

84.04

Pittsburgh Steelers

412

1,537

3.73

8

8

81.01

St. Louis Rams

410

1,714

4.18

5

5

80.59

Philadelphia Eagles

413

1,874

4.54

10

18

78.11

Oakland Raiders

376

1,420

3.78

4

4

77.76

Jacksonville Jaguars

358

1,369

3.82

5

8

75.34

San Diego Chargers

411

1,461

3.55

4

5

75.01

 

 2012 DEFENSIVE RUSHER RATING

Player

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

New England Patriots

415

1,630

3.93

10

19

73.61

Houston Texans

390

1,560

4.00

5

10

73.73

Chicago Bears

388

1,627

4.19

6

12

74.58

Denver Broncos

404

1,458

3.61

5

6

76.35

San Francisco 49ers

407

1,507

3.70

7

5

82.32

San Diego Chargers

406

1,542

3.80

10

9

84.65

Pittsburgh Steelers

391

1,450

3.71

9

6

86.00

Seattle Seahawks

368

1,649

4.48

8

8

86.06

Minnesota Vikings

427

1,692

3.96

10

8

86.13

New York Giants

449

2,066

4.60

9

8

87.11

Philadelphia Eagles

479

2,021

4.22

11

7

89.10

Kansas City Chiefs

482

2,171

4.50

11

7

90.59

Baltimore Ravens

492

1,965

3.99

15

11

90.77

Carolina Panthers

416

1,761

4.23

11

7

91.18

Miami Dolphins

431

1,734

4.02

10

3

91.89

Arizona Cardinals

506

2,192

4.33

12

5

92.64

Cincinnati Bengals

423

1,715

4.05

13

8

92.96

Cleveland Browns

457

1,898

4.15

14

9

93.05

Washington Redskins

363

1,532

4.22

11

7

93.32

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

377

1,320

3.50

13

3

98.46

Tennessee Titans

483

2,035

4.21

16

6

99.04

Green Bay Packers

418

1,896

4.54

12

3

99.44

New York Jets

495

2,138

4.32

17

7

99.87

Detroit Lions

420

1,889

4.50

13

4

100.08

Jacksonville Jaguars

545

2,256

4.14

19

4

102.59

Atlanta Falcons

411

1,971

4.80

16

8

103.96

Indianapolis Colts

428

2,200

5.14

14

4

105.23

Dallas Cowboys

441

2,003

4.54

17

4

107.20

St. Louis Rams

442

1,880

4.25

18

4

107.54

Oakland Raiders

444

1,897

4.27

18

3

108.58

New Orleans Saints

457

2,361

5.17

18

6

109.43

Buffalo Bills

470

2,333

4.96

23

11

111.79

 

For the record, the average rushing numbers were as follows:

 

Attempts

Yards

Yards per Attempt

TD

Fumbles

Rusher Rating

Average

435

1,854

4.26

12.5

6.9

93.82

 

 2012 RUSHER RATING DIFFERENTIAL

Team

Rushing Attempts

Offensive Rusher Rating

Defensive Rushing Attempts

Defensive Rusher Rating

Rusher Rating Differential

New England Patriots

523

112.17

415

73.61

38.51

Houston Texans

508

103.84

390

73.73

30.11

New York Giants

409

109.38

449

87.11

22.27

Carolina Panthers

462

109.20

416

91.18

18.02

San Francisco 49ers

492

100.21

407

82.32

17.89

Chicago Bears

470

92.25

388

74.58

17.67

Minnesota Vikings

486

102.57

427

86.13

16.44

Baltimore Ravens

444

105.57

492

90.77

14.80

Washington Redskins

519

106.66

363

93.32

13.34

Seattle Seahawks

536

99.14

368

86.06

13.08

Denver Broncos

481

87.63

404

76.35

11.28

Detroit Lions

391

105.02

420

100.08

4.94

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

416

100.99

377

98.46

2.53

Cincinnati Bengals

430

93.05

423

92.96

0.09

Miami Dolphins

440

91.06

431

91.89

-0.83

Cleveland Browns

396

91.80

457

93.05

-1.25

Arizona Cardinals

352

88.34

506

92.64

-4.30

Pittsburgh Steelers

412

81.01

391

86.00

-4.99

Tennessee Titans

378

92.90

483

99.04

-6.14

Kansas City Chiefs

500

84.35

482

90.59

-6.24

Atlanta Falcons

378

95.87

411

103.96

-8.09

New Orleans Saints

370

99.89

457

109.43

-9.54

San Diego Chargers

411

75.01

406

84.65

-9.64

Philadelphia Eagles

413

78.11

479

89.10

-10.99

Green Bay Packers

433

88.18

418

99.44

-11.26

New York Jets

494

86.46

495

99.87

-13.41

Indianapolis Colts

440

90.13

428

105.23

-15.10

Buffalo Bills

442

96.56

470

111.79

-15.23

Dallas Cowboys

355

84.04

441

107.20

-23.16

St. Louis Rams

410

80.59

442

107.54

-26.95

Jacksonville Jaguars

358

75.34

545

102.59

-27.25

Oakland Raiders

376

77.76

444

108.58

-30.82

 

 

How Rusher Rating is Calculated

Here is how each component is calculated:

Average Yards Gained per Attempt (YD) = [Total Yards/(4.05 * Rushing Attempts)]

Percentage of TDs per Carry (TD) = [(39.5*Touchdowns)/Rushing Attempts]

Percentage of Fumbles per Carry (F) = [2.375-((21.5*Fumbles)/Rushing Attempts)]

Adding these components together and adjusting to a scale of 158.3 (the same as the NFL Passer Rating System) yields:

Rusher Rating = [(YD) + (TD) + (F)] * (100/4.5)

 

 

Ken Crippen is the executive director of the Professional Football Researchers Association, a non-profit educational organization dedicated to preserving football history. You can follow him on Twitter: @KenCrippen.








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