Predictive Rate of Victory

Final Statistics for the 2013 Season

About Predictive Rate of Victory. Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. Please note Week 1 performance is measured by final year-end stats from the previous season. Also note that indicators such as the Relativity Index (REL) and our Quality Standings (QS) are not measured until two and three weeks into each season, respectively. Those are comparative stats based upon previous games that year, so we need those weeks before we can calculate those indicators. Our proprietary Relativity Index proved to have the highest Predictive Rate of Victory in football in 2011: teams better in that indicator went on to win 67.4% of all NFL games. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.

	Quality Stats
Week	DPR	RQRD	DHI	DRPYPA	RPYPA	OHI	ORR	SCOR	BEND	DQBR
Week 1	8-8	8-8	6-10	9-7	8-8	12-4	8-8	6-10	8-8	8-8
Week 2	5-11	9-7	5-11	5-11	12-4	10-6	7-9	9-7	10-6	6-10
Week 3	12-4	13-3	12-4	10-6	5-11	8-8	7-9	9-7	12-4	14-2
Week 4	9-6	10-5	8-7	10-5	9-6	8-7	6-9	8-7	10-5	10-5
Week 5	5-9	6-8	8-6	6-8	7-7	6-8	8-6	6-8	5-9	6-8
Week 6	8-7	10-5	6-9	7-8	10-5	9-6	6-9	9-6	9-6	6-9
Week 7	7-8	8-7	11-4	11-4	9-6	9-6	8-7	7-8	8-7	7-8
Week 8	11-2	10-3	9-4	8-5	9-4	10-3	7-6	6-7	11-2	11-2
Week 9	11-2	9-4	10-3	6-7	6-7	6-7	9-4	9-4	7-6	11-2
Week 10	8-6	7-7	7-7	6-8	6-8	3-11	3-11	6-8	6-8	8-6
Week 11	9-6	9-6	8-7	9-6	9-6	8-7	8-7	9-6	9-6	10-5
Week 12	7-6	8-5	7-6	9-4	6-7	6-7	7-6	7-6	10-3	7-6
Week 13	9-7	10-6	6-10	9-7	8-8	7-9	10-6	12-4	12-4	10-6
Week 14	10-6	12-4	8-8	9-7	11-5	5-11	8-8	5-11	11-5	9-7
Week 15	9-7	10-6	10-6	10-6	9-7	7-9	7-9	12-4	11-5	9-7
Week 16	10-6	9-7	9-7	9-7	10-6	7-9	11-5	8-8	10-6	8-8
Week 17	11-5	11-5	9-7	9-7	11-5	11-5	13-3	11-5	13-3	10-6
Regular Season	149-106	159-96	139-116	142-113	145-110	132-123	133-122	139-116	162-93	150-105
Rate	58.4%	62.4%	54.5%	55.7%	56.9%	51.8%	52.2%	54.5%	63.5%	58.8%
Wildcard Round	2-2	2-2	2-2	2-2	2-2	2-2	1-3	1-3	2-2	2-2
Divisional Round	4-0	2-2	2-2	3-1	3-1	1-3	3-1	4-0	2-2	3-1
All Games	155-108	163-100	143-120	147-116	150-113	135-128	137-126	144-119	166-97	155-108
Rate	58.9%	62.0%	54.4%	55.9%	57.0%	51.3%	52.1%	54.8%	63.1%	58.9%

	Quality Stats
Week	PRD	TTY	RRD	QS	REL	Overall	OPR	TTYD	DRR	TTYA	TTO	QBR
Week 1	10-6	9-7	8-8	0-0	0-0	10-6	8-8	10-6	9-7	11-5	6-10	8-8
Week 2	9-7	6-10	9-7	0-0	0-0	0-16	10-6	9-7	9-7	5-11	7-9	10-6
Week 3	13-3	5-11	9-7	0-0	13-3	0-16	9-7	10-6	8-8	10-6	7-9	8-8
Week 4	9-6	11-4	5-10	7-8	7-8	9-6	9-6	9-6	5-10	10-5	5-10	10-5
Week 5	6-8	7-7	7-7	5-9	3-11	5-9	5-9	9-5	8-6	8-6	4-10	6-8
Week 6	12-3	9-6	7-8	8-7	10-5	11-4	13-2	9-6	10-5	9-6	9-6	10-5
Week 7	8-7	5-10	9-6	10-5	8-7	8-7	8-7	7-8	8-7	9-6	5-10	8-7
Week 8	9-4	9-4	9-4	12-1	11-2	9-4	8-5	9-4	10-3	9-4	6-7	9-4
Week 9	8-5	8-5	8-5	7-6	7-6	7-6	7-6	7-6	9-4	5-8	6-7	7-6
Week 10	8-6	4-10	6-8	4-10	7-7	6-8	6-8	7-7	10-4	7-7	4-10	7-7
Week 11	10-5	9-6	8-7	10-5	11-4	9-6	10-5	10-5	10-5	8-7	7-8	9-6
Week 12	8-5	5-8	5-8	7-6	6-7	6-7	8-5	4-9	7-6	9-4	8-5	8-5
Week 13	11-5	4-12	9-7	6-10	11-5	9-7	7-9	6-10	10-6	8-8	6-10	8-8
Week 14	13-3	7-9	7-9	12-4	9-7	10-6	10-6	8-8	10-6	6-10	9-7	8-8
Week 15	9-7	5-11	10-6	9-7	9-7	8-8	10-6	7-9	8-8	9-7	8-8	8-8
Week 16	9-7	5-11	10-6	12-4	10-6	9-7	10-6	7-9	8-8	5-11	10-6	9-7
Week 17	12-4	8-8	11-5	11-5	13-3	11-5	12-4	9-7	9-7	10-6	9-7	12-4
Regular Season	164-91	116-139	137-118	120-87	135-88	127-128	150-105	137-118	148-107	138-117	116-139	145-110
Rate	64.3%	45.5%	53.7%	58.0%	60.54%	49.8%	58.8%	53.7%	58.0%	54.1%	45.5%	56.9%
Wildcard Round	2-2	0-4	1-3	3-1	2-2	2-2	3-1	2-2	1-3	2-2	2-2	4-0
Divisional Round	4-0	3-1	3-1	2-2	4-0	3-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	3-1	1-3	1-3
All Games	170-93	119-144	141-122	125-90	139-88	132-131	156-107	142-121	152-111	143-120	119-144	150-113
Rate	64.6%	45.2%	53.6%	58.1%	61.23%	50.2%	59.3%	54.0%	57.8%	54.4%	45.2%	57.0%

	Commonly Used Stats
Week	PYds	RYds	RY/A	PY/A	Int	NPP%	3rd%
Week 1	9-7	11-5	10-6	10-6	5-8	6-10	11-5
Week 2	12-4	10-6	9-7	9-7	5-4	12-4	10-5
Week 3	7-9	5-11	4-12	5-11	10-4	8-8	11-5
Week 4	8-7	8-6	7-8	9-6	7-6	8-7	7-8
Week 5	8-6	7-7	6-8	9-5	6-7	6-8	7-7
Week 6	8-7	10-5	8-7	10-5	10-3	11-4	8-7
Week 7	5-10	8-7	12-3	9-6	8-7	6-9	7-8
Week 8	8-5	9-4	7-6	8-5	8-3	8-5	8-5
Week 9	5-8	9-4	11-2	6-7	8-5	6-7	5-8
Week 10	9-5	4-10	1-13	5-9	6-8	4-10	6-8
Week 11	9-6	8-7	9-6	9-6	6-8	7-8	6-9
Week 12	7-6	4-8	3-10	7-6	9-4	6-7	5-8
Week 13	7-9	8-8	5-11	8-8	5-10	8-8	9-7
Week 14	7-9	8-8	6-10	11-5	8-7	6-10	5-11
Week 15	7-9	7-9	8-8	9-7	9-6	8-8	9-6
Week 16	8-8	9-7	7-9	11-5	9-6	11-5	9-7
Week 17	8-8	10-6	10-6	14-2	10-5	9-7	13-3
Regular Season	132-123	135-118	123-132	149-106	129-101	130-125	136-117
Rate	51.8%	53.4%	48.2%	58.4%	56.1%	51.0%	53.8%
Wildcard Round	3-1	2-2	1-3	2-2	2-2	3-1	3-1
Divisional Round	2-2	3-1	4-0	4-0	3-1	2-2	0-4
All Games	137-126	140-121	128-135	155-108	134-104	135-128	139-122
Rate	52.1%	53.6%	48.7%	58.9%	56.3%	51.3%	53.3%

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