®
Predictive Rate of Victory
Final Statistics for the 2013 Season
About Predictive Rate of Victory. Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. Please note Week 1 performance is measured by final year-end stats from the previous season. Also note that indicators such as the Relativity Index (REL) and our Quality Standings (QS) are not measured until two and three weeks into each season, respectively. Those are comparative stats based upon previous games that year, so we need those weeks before we can calculate those indicators. Our proprietary Relativity Index proved to have the highest Predictive Rate of Victory in football in 2011: teams better in that indicator went on to win 67.4% of all NFL games. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.
| Quality Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week | DPR | RQRD | DHI | DRPYPA | RPYPA | OHI | ORR | SCOR | BEND | DQBR | ||||||||||||
| Week 1 | 8-8 | 8-8 | 6-10 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 12-4 | 8-8 | 6-10 | 8-8 | 8-8 | ||||||||||||
| Week 2 | 5-11 | 9-7 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 12-4 | 10-6 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 6-10 | ||||||||||||
| Week 3 | 12-4 | 13-3 | 12-4 | 10-6 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 14-2 | ||||||||||||
| Week 4 | 9-6 | 10-5 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 10-5 | ||||||||||||
| Week 5 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 8-6 | 6-8 | 7-7 | 6-8 | 8-6 | 6-8 | 5-9 | 6-8 | ||||||||||||
| Week 6 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 6-9 | 7-8 | 10-5 | 9-6 | 6-9 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 6-9 | ||||||||||||
| Week 7 | 7-8 | 8-7 | 11-4 | 11-4 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 7-8 | 8-7 | 7-8 | ||||||||||||
| Week 8 | 11-2 | 10-3 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 10-3 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 11-2 | 11-2 | ||||||||||||
| Week 9 | 11-2 | 9-4 | 10-3 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 11-2 | ||||||||||||
| Week 10 | 8-6 | 7-7 | 7-7 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 8-6 | ||||||||||||
| Week 11 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 8-7 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 10-5 | ||||||||||||
| Week 12 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 10-3 | 7-6 | ||||||||||||
| Week 13 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 6-10 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 7-9 | 10-6 | 12-4 | 12-4 | 10-6 | ||||||||||||
| Week 14 | 10-6 | 12-4 | 8-8 | 9-7 | 11-5 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 5-11 | 11-5 | 9-7 | ||||||||||||
| Week 15 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 12-4 | 11-5 | 9-7 | ||||||||||||
| Week 16 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 7-9 | 11-5 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 8-8 | ||||||||||||
| Week 17 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 13-3 | 11-5 | 13-3 | 10-6 | ||||||||||||
| Regular Season | 149-106 | 159-96 | 139-116 | 142-113 | 145-110 | 132-123 | 133-122 | 139-116 | 162-93 | 150-105 | ||||||||||||
| Rate | 58.4% | 62.4% | 54.5% | 55.7% | 56.9% | 51.8% | 52.2% | 54.5% | 63.5% | 58.8% | ||||||||||||
| Wildcard Round | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | ||||||||||||
| Divisional Round | 4-0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 3-1 | ||||||||||||
| All Games | 155-108 | 163-100 | 143-120 | 147-116 | 150-113 | 135-128 | 137-126 | 144-119 | 166-97 | 155-108 | ||||||||||||
| Rate | 58.9% | 62.0% | 54.4% | 55.9% | 57.0% | 51.3% | 52.1% | 54.8% | 63.1% | 58.9% | ||||||||||||
| Quality Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week | PRD | TTY | RRD | QS | REL | Overall | OPR | TTYD | DRR | TTYA | TTO | QBR | ||||||||||
| Week 1 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10-6 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 11-5 | 6-10 | 8-8 | ||||||||||
| Week 2 | 9-7 | 6-10 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-16 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 5-11 | 7-9 | 10-6 | ||||||||||
| Week 3 | 13-3 | 5-11 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-16 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 7-9 | 8-8 | ||||||||||
| Week 4 | 9-6 | 11-4 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 7-8 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 5-10 | 10-5 | 5-10 | 10-5 | ||||||||||
| Week 5 | 6-8 | 7-7 | 7-7 | 5-9 | 3-11 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 9-5 | 8-6 | 8-6 | 4-10 | 6-8 | ||||||||||
| Week 6 | 12-3 | 9-6 | 7-8 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 11-4 | 13-2 | 9-6 | 10-5 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 10-5 | ||||||||||
| Week 7 | 8-7 | 5-10 | 9-6 | 10-5 | 8-7 | 8-7 | 8-7 | 7-8 | 8-7 | 9-6 | 5-10 | 8-7 | ||||||||||
| Week 8 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 12-1 | 11-2 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 10-3 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 9-4 | ||||||||||
| Week 9 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 7-6 | ||||||||||
| Week 10 | 8-6 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 7-7 | 10-4 | 7-7 | 4-10 | 7-7 | ||||||||||
| Week 11 | 10-5 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 11-4 | 9-6 | 10-5 | 10-5 | 10-5 | 8-7 | 7-8 | 9-6 | ||||||||||
| Week 12 | 8-5 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 7-6 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 8-5 | 4-9 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 8-5 | ||||||||||
| Week 13 | 11-5 | 4-12 | 9-7 | 6-10 | 11-5 | 9-7 | 7-9 | 6-10 | 10-6 | 8-8 | 6-10 | 8-8 | ||||||||||
| Week 14 | 13-3 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 12-4 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 6-10 | 9-7 | 8-8 | ||||||||||
| Week 15 | 9-7 | 5-11 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 8-8 | ||||||||||
| Week 16 | 9-7 | 5-11 | 10-6 | 12-4 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 5-11 | 10-6 | 9-7 | ||||||||||
| Week 17 | 12-4 | 8-8 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 13-3 | 11-5 | 12-4 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 12-4 | ||||||||||
| Regular Season | 164-91 | 116-139 | 137-118 | 120-87 | 135-88 | 127-128 | 150-105 | 137-118 | 148-107 | 138-117 | 116-139 | 145-110 | ||||||||||
| Rate | 64.3% | 45.5% | 53.7% | 58.0% | 60.54% | 49.8% | 58.8% | 53.7% | 58.0% | 54.1% | 45.5% | 56.9% | ||||||||||
| Wildcard Round | 2-2 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-0 | ||||||||||
| Divisional Round | 4-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 1-3 | ||||||||||
| All Games | 170-93 | 119-144 | 141-122 | 125-90 | 139-88 | 132-131 | 156-107 | 142-121 | 152-111 | 143-120 | 119-144 | 150-113 | ||||||||||
| Rate | 64.6% | 45.2% | 53.6% | 58.1% | 61.23% | 50.2% | 59.3% | 54.0% | 57.8% | 54.4% | 45.2% | 57.0% | ||||||||||
| Commonly Used Stats | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week | PYds | RYds | RY/A | PY/A | Int | NPP% | 3rd% |
| Week 1 | 9-7 | 11-5 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 5-8 | 6-10 | 11-5 |
| Week 2 | 12-4 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 5-4 | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Week 3 | 7-9 | 5-11 | 4-12 | 5-11 | 10-4 | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Week 4 | 8-7 | 8-6 | 7-8 | 9-6 | 7-6 | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Week 5 | 8-6 | 7-7 | 6-8 | 9-5 | 6-7 | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Week 6 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 8-7 | 10-5 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 8-7 |
| Week 7 | 5-10 | 8-7 | 12-3 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Week 8 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 8-3 | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Week 9 | 5-8 | 9-4 | 11-2 | 6-7 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Week 10 | 9-5 | 4-10 | 1-13 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Week 11 | 9-6 | 8-7 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 6-8 | 7-8 | 6-9 |
| Week 12 | 7-6 | 4-8 | 3-10 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Week 13 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 5-10 | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Week 14 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 6-10 | 11-5 | 8-7 | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Week 15 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 9-7 | 9-6 | 8-8 | 9-6 |
| Week 16 | 8-8 | 9-7 | 7-9 | 11-5 | 9-6 | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Week 17 | 8-8 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 14-2 | 10-5 | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Regular Season | 132-123 | 135-118 | 123-132 | 149-106 | 129-101 | 130-125 | 136-117 |
| Rate | 51.8% | 53.4% | 48.2% | 58.4% | 56.1% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| Wildcard Round | 3-1 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Divisional Round | 2-2 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| All Games | 137-126 | 140-121 | 128-135 | 155-108 | 134-104 | 135-128 | 139-122 |
| Rate | 52.1% | 53.6% | 48.7% | 58.9% | 56.3% | 51.3% | 53.3% |
Quality Stats
- Quality Stats Power Rankings
- Quality Standings
- Scoreability
- Bendability
- Real Passing Yards per Attempt
- Defensive Real Passing Yards per Attempt
- Real Quarterback Rating
- Defensive Real Quarterback Rating
- Real Quarterback Rating Differential
- Offensive Passer Rating
- Defensive Passer Rating
- Passer Rating Differential
- Offensive Hog Index
- Defensive Hog Index
- The Relativity Index
- Total Team Yards
- Total Team Yards Allowed
- Total Team Yards Differential
- Offensive Rusher Rating
- Defensive Rusher Rating
- Rusher Rating Differential
- Total Turnovers
- Correlation to Victory
- Predictive Rate of Victory
Premium Articles
RSS Feed
Follow @footballfacts
Follow us on Facebook