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Predictive Rate of Victory

Through Week 2 of the 2013 Regular Season

About Predictive Rate of Victory. Predictive Rate of Victory measures how often a given indicator predicts victory, i.e., how often teams better in a given indicator beat their opponent that week. Please note Week 1 performance is measured by final year-end stats from the previous season. Also note that indicators such as the Relativity Index (REL) and our Quality Standings (QS) are not measured until two and three weeks into each season, respectively. Those are comparative stats based upon previous games that year, so we need those weeks before we can calculate those indicators. Our proprietary Relativity Index proved to have the highest Predictive Rate of Victory in football in 2011: teams better in that indicator went on to win 67.4% of all NFL games. You’ll notice that Predictive Rate of Victory grows stronger later in the year, as we develop a critical mass of data.

 

 Quality Stats 
WeekDPRRQRDDHIDRPYPARPYPAOHIORRBENDDQBR
Week 18-88-86-109-78-812-48-88-88-8
Week 25-119-75-115-1112-410-67-910-66-10
Regular Season13-1917-1511-2114-1820-1222-1015-1718-1414-18
Rate40.6%53.1%34.4%43.8%62.5%68.8%46.9%56.2%43.8%

 

 Quality Stats 
WeekPRDTTYRRDSCORRELOverallOPRTTYDDRRTTYATTOQBR
Week 110-69-78-86-100-010-68-810-69-711-56-108-8
Week 29-76-109-79-70-00-1610-69-79-75-117-910-6
Regular Season19-1315-1717-1515-170-010-2218-1419-1318-1416-1613-1918-14
Rate59.4%46.9%53.1%46.9%NA31.2%56.2%59.4%56.2%50.0%40.6%56.2%

 

 Commonly Used Stats 
WeekPYdsRYdsRY/APY/AIntNPP%3rd%
Week 19-711-510-610-65-86-1011-5
Week 212-410-69-79-75-412-410-5
Regular Season21-1121-1119-1319-1310-1218-1421-10
Rate65.6%65.6%59.4%59.4%45.5%56.2%67.7%





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