Week 14 In Review: Money-Making Picks Snow Problem

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Dec 10, 2013



Three of our four portfolios of picks at CHFF Insider produced money-making performances in Week 14, led once again by the King of Props and closely followed by the Intelligence Index.

The King of Props is already guaranteed a money-making ledger in 2013. Even if his four weekly picks go 0-12 in the final three weeks, he’ll end the year 39-31 (.557).

Of course, 0-12 is not going to happen. The King of Props lords over his football fiefdom at .500 or better in 12 of 14 weeks this season and is absolutely on fire in recent weeks.

The Intelligence Index, meanwhile, is only tiny percentage points behind the King of Props right now, and is more likely this year to identify big blowouts than ATS losers.

An impressive 28 of our 32 Mental Mismatches have won straight up, by an average of two touchdowns per game – and finding SU winners is one clean path to harvesting ATS winners.

The Intelligence Index, which averages about 2.5 picks per week, is also already guaranteed a winning season.

Our Real and Spectacular Picks even produced one of its best performances of the season – of course, the competition is thin in a year in which our picks have struggled week after week.

Here’s a look at our Week 14 picks at CHFF Insider:

The King of Props went 4-0 – and is just one miss away from three straight perfect 4-0 weeks (Pierre Thomas and the Saints offense was hemmed in by the Seahawks in Week 13 Monday Night Football). Otherwise, it’s been all milk and honey in the wealthy Kingdom of Props, who is 11-1 in the last three weeks.  

One hiccup: season-ending injuries to Titans QB Jake Locker and Cardinals CB Tyrann Mathieu have derailed what looked like an easy 3-0 season for the King of Props’ season-long plays. Locker is a push with two rushing TDs while Mathieu with two INTs fell one pick shy of handing the King and his followers a victory. The King’s preseason play on Matt Forte was an early winner, giving the season-long picks a mark of 1-1-1.

The King of Props is now a scorching 39-19-1 (.672) in 2013.

The Intelligence Index went 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread – The Chiefs  blew out the Redskins, 45-10, and the Eagles snowstormed back from a 14-7 deficit in a wild fourth quarter to win big, 34-20 – each pick continuing the clearly defined trend by now of the Intelligence Index picking blowouts each week and cruising to easy wins.

The only Intelligence Index Mental Mismatch that failed to come through was New England big over Cleveland. The Patriots needed two very late TDs, a successful onside kick and some magic pixie dust to hold on for a 27-26 win over the Browns, despite being double-digit favorites.

The Intelligence Index is now a brilliant 28-4 (.875) straight up and 20-10-2 (.667) ATS. It has not suffered a losing recor of of any kind since back in Week 9 (1-2 ATS). 

Our Real and Spectacular Picks went 13-3 straight up; 9-7 ATS – It was a humble performance by our very lofty historic standards, but here in our struggling 2013 season it proved one of our better weeks.

Our Real and Spectacular Picks are now129-77-1 (.626) straight up; 82-117-8 (.412) ATS

The CHFF Trifecta had been hot in recent weeks but went 1-2 in Week 14 – The Bills and Bucs were well under 42.5, while the Steelers (-3) lost outright at home to the Dolphins. Geno Smith and the Jets came up big against the Raiders, however.  

The CHFF Trifecta is now 18-21-3 (.462) and can end the season in the black with a strong 7-2 finish.

 

Week 14 and Year-to-Date Results

King of Props Week 1 – 4-0

King of Props Week 2 – 2-2

King of Props Week 3 – 3-1

King of Props Week 4 – 2-2

King of Props Week 5 – 4-0

King of Props Week 6 – 1-3

King of Props Week 7 – 2-2

King of Props Week 8 – 1-3

King of Props Week 9 – 3-1

King of Props Week 10 – 3-1

King of Props Week 11 – 2-2

King of Props Week 12 – 4-0

King of Props Week 13 – 3-1

King of Props Week 14 – 4-0

King of Props pre-season picks – 1-1-1

Year to Date – 39-19-1 (.672)

 

Real and Spectacular picks Week 1 – 11-5 straight up; 5-10-1 ATS

Real and Spectacular picks Week 2 – 13-3 straight up; 6-9-1 ATS

Real and Spectacular picks Week 3 – 9-7 straight up; 7-8-1 ATS

Real and Spectacular picks Week 4 – 8-7 straight up; 5-10 ATS

Real and Spectacular picks Week 5 – 8-6 straight up; 3-11 ATS

Real and Spectacular picks Week 6 – 9-6 straight up; 7-8 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 7 – 9-5 straight up; 5-9 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 8 – 10-3 straight up; 6-7 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 9 – 8-5 straight up; 6-7 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 10 – 4-10 straight up; 3-10-1 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 11 – 12-3 straight up; 7-5-3 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 12 – 6-7-1 straight up; 8-5-1 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 13 – 9-7 straight up; 5-11 ATS

Real and Spectacular Picks Week 14 – 13-3 straight up; 9-7 ATS

Year to Date: 129-77-1 (.626) straight up; 82-117-8 (.412) ATS

 

Intelligence Index Week 2 – 1-0 straight up; 1-1 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 3 – 3-0 straight up; 3-0 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 4 – 3-0 straight up; 3-0 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 5 – 1-0 straight up; 1-0 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 6 – 2-1 straight up; 1-2 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 7 – 1-1 straight up; 0-2 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 8 – 3-0 straight up; 2-1 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 9 – 2-1 straight up; 1-2 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 10 – 2-1 straight up; 1-1-1 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 11 – 2-0 straight up; 1-0-1 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 12 – 3-0 straight up; 3-0 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 13 – 2-0 straight up; 1-1 ATS

Intelligence Index Week 14 – 3-0 straight up; 2-1 ATS

Year to Date: 28-4 (.875) straight up; 20-10-2 (.667) ATS

 

CHFF Trifecta Week 1 – 0-3

CHFF Trifecta Week 2 – 2-0-1

CHFF Trifecta Week 3 – 0-2-1

CHFF Trifecta Week 4 – 1-2

CHFF Trifecta Week 5 – 1-2

CHFF Trifecta Week 6 – 0-3

CHFF Trifecta Week 7 – 2-1

CHFF Trifecta Week 8 – 2-1

CHFF Trifecta Week 9 – 1-2

CHFF Trifecta Week 10 – 2-1

CHFF Trifecta Week 11 – 3-0

CHFF Trifecta Week 12 – 1-2

CHFF Trifecta Week 13 – 2-0-1

CHFF Trifecta Week 14 – 1-2

Year to Date – 18-21-3 (.462)

 

 

Week 14 Real and Spectacular Picks

Houston (-3) at Jacksonville

CHFF Pick: Jacksonville 23, Houston 21

Final Score: Jacksonville 27, Houston 20

CHFF Result: straight up win (1-0); ATS win (1-0)

 

Buffalo at Tampa Bay (-2.5)

CHFF Pick: Tampa Bay 24, Buffalo 20

Final Score: Tampa Bay 27, Buffalo 6

CHFF Result: straight up win (2-0); ATS win (2-0)

 

Carolina at New Orleans (-4)

CHFF Pick: New Orleans 24, Carolina 21

Final Score: New Orleans 31, Carolina 13

CHFF Result: straight up win (3-0); ATS loss (2-1)

 

Cleveland at New England (-11.5)

CHFF Pick: New England 30, Cleveland 17

Final Score: New England 27, Cleveland 26

CHFF Result: straight up win (4-0); ATS loss (2-2)

 

Detroit at Philadelphia (-2.5)

CHFF Pick: Philadelphia 27, Detroit 23

Final Score: Philadelphia 34, Detroit 20

CHFF Result: straight up win (5-0); ATS win (3-2)

 

Indianapolis at Cincinnati (-6)

CHFF Pick: Cincinnati 21, Indianapolis 17

Final Score: Cincinnati 42, Indianapolis 28

CHFF Result: straight up win (6-0); ATS loss (3-3)

 

Kansas City (-3) at Washington

CHFF Pick: Kansas City 26, Washington 20

Final Score: Kansas City 45, Washington 10

CHFF Result: straight up win (7-0); ATS win (4-3)

 

Miami at Pittsburgh (-3.5)

CHFF Pick: Pittsburgh 21, Miami 19

Final Score: Miami 34, Pittsburgh 28

CHFF Result: straight up loss (7-1); ATS win (5-3)

 

Minnesota at Baltimore (-7)

CHFF Pick: Baltimore 27, Minnesota 17

Final Score: Baltimore 29, Minnesota 26

CHFF Result: straight up win (8-1); ATS loss (5-4)

 

Oakland at N.Y. Jets (-3)

CHFF Pick: Oakland 24 N.Y. Jets 17

Final Score: N.Y. Jets 37, Oakland 27

CHFF Result: straight up loss (8-2); ATS loss (5-5)

 

Tennessee at Denver (-12)

CHFF Pick: Denver 31, Tennessee 21

Final Score: Denver 51, Tennessee 28

CHFF Result: straight up win (9-2); ATS loss (5-6)

 

N.Y. Giants at San Diego (-3)

CHFF Pick: San Diego 26, N.Y. Giants 21

Final Score: San Diego 37, N.Y. Giants 14

CHFF Result: straight up win (10-2); ATS win (6-6)

 

Seattle at San Francisco (-3)

CHFF Pick: Seattle 24, San Francisco 20

Final Score: San Francisco 19, Seattle 17

CHFF Result: straight up loss (10-3); ATS win (7-6)

 

St. Louis at Arizona (-6.5)

CHFF Pick: Arizona 20, St. Louis 17

Final Score: Arizona 30, St. Louis 10

CHFF Result: straight up win (11-3); ATS loss (7-7)

 

Atlanta at Green Bay (-3.5)

CHFF Pick: Green Bay 24, Arizona 23

Final Score: Green Bay 22, Atlanta 21

CHFF Result: straight up win (12-3); ATS win (8-7)

 

Dallas at Chicago (-1)

CHFF Pick: Chicago 30, Dallas 27

Final Score: Chicago 45, Dallas 28

CHFF Result: straight up win (13-3); ATS win (9-7)


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