Week 12 Intelligence Index: Pair Of Slam Dunks And One Sleeper

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Nov 21, 2013



By Jonathan Comey
Cold, Hard Football Facts King of the World

We settled for a tie with Indianapolis (-3) vs. Tennessee last week thanks to a garbage TD by the Titans, but avoided the same fate with Philly (-3.5) when the Redskins failed to complete a comeback from three TDs down on a day where Eagle backers were mostly breathing easy.

For the season, the Intelligence Index picks are 20-4 straight up, 14-8-2 (.636) vs. the spread. 

As you can see from the chart below, smart play pays off with wins and with $$$. The Top 5 teams on the Intelligence Index are a combined:

  • 37-14 overall
  • 33-17-1 (.660) ATS

Dumb play corresponds nicely and provides plenty of money-making opportunity: the Bottom 5 on the Intelligence Index are:

  • 15-35 overall
  • 17-32-1 (.347) ATS

Note the two dumbest teams in football are also the two worst bets in football. Houston and Jacksonville are a combined 3-16-1 (.158) ATS.

The Intelligence Index through Week 11

 TEAMBENDSCOREI. INDEXvs. SpreadOverall
1Kansas City24.4113.7910.626-49-1
2Carolina21.7813.58.287-37-3
3San Francisco18.1912.515.686-3-16-4
4Seattle18.0212.895.137-410-1
5Dallas17.0511.965.097-35-5
6New England17.8314.333.55-57-3
7Denver14.5811.443.146-49-1
8Indianapolis16.5913.882.715-4-16-4
9Cincinnati16.7214.582.146-4-17-4
10Miami16.2214.451.775-55-5
11Baltimore16.0314.831.25-4-14-6
12Philadelphia17.6816.431.156-56-5
13New Orleans16.6914.551.146-3-18-2
14Chicago13.9713.020.952-6-26-5
15St. Louis15.0314.130.94-64-6
16Tennessee14.6114.30.315-3-24-6
17Arizona15.3315.250.086-3-16-4
18San Diego17.5217.5205-4-14-6
19Detroit14.9615.63-0.675-56-4
20Minnesota12.2413.24-1.14-62-8
21Buffalo14.0115.43-1.426-54-7
22Green Bay14.6816.18-1.54-65-5
23Pittsburgh13.9115.89-1.984-64-6
24Tampa Bay14.4216.62-2.24-62-8
25Oakland14.2417.1-2.867-34-6
26Atlanta13.0816.24-3.162-82-8
27N.Y. Giants13.1316.7-3.574-64-6
28Cleveland12.8816.57-3.695-54-6
29Washington12.5416.75-4.213-73-7
30N.Y. Jets12.0917.75-5.666-45-5
31Houston10.3719.59-9.221-8-12-8
32Jacksonville12.3121.55-9.242-81-9

 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

There are two slam-dunk picks this week and one that took a bit more digging.

Baltimore -3.5 at home vs. Jets. The Jets are the third-dumbest team in the league thus far (-5.66), and the only one of the league’s dunces to actually have fared well vs. the spread … early (6-4).

That’s not going to last; we’ll be putting more money against New York down the stretch, for sure On the road against Baltimore (No. 12), they should probably be getting a touchdown; that they’re getting half that is even more good news.

San Francisco -5.5 at Washington. Until the Redskins (-4.21) prove otherwise, they are the posterboys for what makes this system work – a talented team that keeps the bettors interested but leaves points on the field. They’re 3-7 vs. the number, and going against a San Fran team No. 3 on our Index (+5.68). 

Pittsburgh +2.5 at Cleveland. While the Steelers aren’t that far above the Browns on this list (Pittsburgh -1.98, Cleveland -3.69), they have been moving in opposite directions.

The Steelers have been climbing over the last month, while Cleveland has been falling. The Steelers should be favored in this one; considering they’re catching a couple points this looks like a very solid play.


From our partners




Team Pages
AFC East NFC
South
North
West

Connect With Us
Sign up for our newsletter to recieve all the latest news and updates...




The Football Nation Network

© Copyright 2014 Football Nation LLC. Privacy Policy & Terms of Use   Logout
Some images property of Getty Images or Icon/SMI