The Monday Hangover & the enduring stain of stripper glitter

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Oct 25, 2009



(The Monday Morning Hangover is compiled by CHFF contributors and writers from around the blogosphere, including Deshawn Zombie of 18to88.com in Indianapolis, Mark Sandritter in Seattle, Bryn Swartz in Philadelphia, Tony Cocco in his cardboard-box kingdom in Boston, and our own beloved Chief Troll wherever he may be this week.)
 
This week's Monday Hangover was pieced together from blurry, splash-stained cocktail napkins while trying to wash away the misery of six four-TD blowouts and wash away all the stipper glitter and the stink from our clothing before the wives get wind of the $5-per-quart discount perfume they favor these days at the Sportsman's Lounge in Providence.
 
(Smells a a lot like urinals pucks, quite frankly ... but maybe we need to find a better class of seedy strip joint.)
 
In any case, this week: we hear the same old song and dance out of the NFC North, the Browns are so impotent that even Viagra and $100 bucks in the champagne room can't save them, and the Cardinals earn an extremely rare Quality Win for themselves and for the worst division in football.
 
GOTW: Pittsburgh 27,  Minnesota 17
A pair of late gifts from BrettFavre sunk what should have been a dominant day for the previously undefeated Vikings. Minnesota boasted:
  • More first downs  (21 to 14)
  • More yards (386 to 259)
  • More passing yards (334 to 175)
  • More yards per play (5.4 to 5.3)
  • More offensive plays (79 to 49)
  • More success on third down (50% to 33%)
The stat sheet says the Vikings were the better team. The scoreboard disagrees. The reason? Of course! The Vikings made more mistakes. 
  • Minnesota was flagged for 11 penalties to just three for Pittsburgh.
  • Minnesota suffered 4 sacks for a loss of 37 yards to Pittsburgh's 3 for 22.
  • Minnesotta, for the first time all year, commited more turnovers than their opponent (2 to 1)
In the end, BrettFavre's generosity with the football – stop us if you heard this story before – made the difference.
 
In the span of 5:27 in the fourth quarter, the Steelers did something that they had never done in a game, let alone a quarter. The Steelers returned a fumble 77 yards and a pick 82 yards for touchdowns. BrettFavre committed the gaffe in each instance – though they weren't as egregious as his typical toss into triple coverage in critical situations.
 
The two scores mark the first time in Steelers history that the defense has returned both a fumble and an interception at least 35 yards each for touchdowns. The fumble return was the fourth longest in Steelers history, and the pick was tied for the second longest.
 
Pittsburgh's win helps suggest that the AFC is the better conference this year. The NFC had led the season series heading into Sunday, but the AFC went 6-2 this week, with the only loss being the Browns falling to Packers and the Dolphins getting overrun in the second half by the Saints.
 
Meanwhile, contending NFC teams like the Vikings, Bears, and 49ers all suffered tough defeats at the hands of AFC teams. The AFC now holds a 16-15 advantage over the NFC heading into Week 8. The NFC has not won the inter-conference series since 1995. - DZ
 
New Orleans 46, Miami 34
Drew Brees put up some amazing numbers this year and in past years. But his critics wanted to know if he could overcome adversity.
 
You got your answer.
 
The Dolphins picked off Brees three times in the first 35 minutes, and sacked him five times on the day, as he suffered his worst statistical performance of the season (22 of 38, 298 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 58.9 rating).
 
But he also ran for two scores and pieced together TD drives of 82, 79 and 60 yards on successive possession in the second half to guide the Saints back from what was once a 24-3 deficit. The 46 points marked the third time this year that the Saints topped the 40 mark.
 
The great second half effort helped the Saints increase their season's scoring average to 39.7 -- a pace that would break the scoring record of 38.8 PPG held by the 1950 Rams. The New Orleans defense, with the No. 3-ranked Defensive Hogs and No. 1-ranked Defensive Passer Rating entering the game, struggled early with Miami's outstanding ground attack (30 attempts, 137 yards, 4.6 YPA). But the unit allowed just 10 second half points, pitched a shutout in the fourth quarter, and also returned two interceptions by overmatched rookie Chad Henne (18 of 36, 211 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT, 45 rating) for touchdowns to help spearhead the team's great comeback.
 
The Saints defense has now returned four interceptions for TDs in just six games this season. - TC
 
Dallas 37, Atlanta 21
Miles Austin grabbed six balls – which is four more than you grabbed this morning – for 171 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
 
That's a pretty good haul for a guy nobody heard of a month ago. In two starts, Austin has caught 16 passes for 421 yards and four touchdowns.
 
Elsewhere, Patrick Crayton returned a punt for a 71-yard touchdown and Tony Romo threw for 311 yards and three scores. Romo, as noted earlier today, is now officially among the NFL's all-time leaders in two critical measures of success. Now, if he can only win a playoff game, we might be able to mention Romo's name in the same breath as the other great statistical leaders in passer rating and YPA. - BS
 
New England 35, Tampa Bay 7
The Patriots had to travel all the way to England to get it, but they finally notched a road victory in 2009 by toying with the hapless Bucs.
 
Tom Brady (23 of 32, 308 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT, 107.3 rating) was intercepted twice – his first pick coming after 177 straight attempts without an INT – but he also produced his 26th career game with 300 or more passing yards, tying Drew Bledsoe for the franchise record. After a slow start to 2009, Brady has now raised his season passer rating to 99.9 (8th).
 
Safety Brandon Merriweather's pick-six in the first quarter was New England's first defensive touchdown since December 2007 against the Jets and the first of the former No. 1 pick's career. Merriweather's two-interception effort helped New England's improving pass defense drop its Defensive Passer Rating to below 80 (74.3) for the first time this season. They now rank No. 8 in this critical indicator of defensive success – a neighborhood which the New England defense hasn't visited since 2006, when they finished No. 2 (66.1). - TC
 
San Diego 37 Kansas City 7
One of these days, Matt Cassel is going to get killed.
 
After taking a league leading 47 sacks last year with the Patriots, he got traded to the Chiefs, who hoped he was the second coming of Tom Brady.  Turns out, he might just be the second coming David Carr.  Things haven't worked out for Cassel who took sacks on 8.3 percent of his drop backs last year with New England, and has become a punching bag in Kansas City.
 
Shaun Phillips and the Chargers took him down four more times on Sunday, meaning that he has now been sacked 23 times in six games and has been sacked on 11 percent of all drop backs this year. Projected over the course of a season, Cassel will be read his last rites sometime around week 14.
 
For the Chargers, the four sacks were a welcome sight for a team that was 30th in the league with only seven sacks this year heading into Sunday. - DZ
 
Arizona 24, N.Y. Giants 17
Near the end of the primetime game on NBC Sunday night, Al Michaels called Arizona's upset victory one of the biggest in franchise history.
 
In fact, with three seconds left on the clock, he screamed ectstatically above the deafening roar, "Do you believe in miracles!? Yes!!!!"
 
show video here
 
 
O.K. We made up that last part. But apparently Michaels missed Arizona's 33-13 win over the 12-4 Panthers, in Carolina, last year in the playoffs.
 
So we wouldn't go as far as Michaels. But it was a Quality Win of the best kind – better than the team's 28-21 win over 4-3 Houston earlier this year.
 
It also gives the Cardinals two Quality Wins for the year (and one "Quality" loss to Indy).
 
That's no small feat for the Cardinals – or for the NFC West in general. Arizona is now 8-16 against Quality Opponents since 2006. The division, meanwhile, is just 3-9 this year. - MS
 
Indianapolis 42 St. Louis 6
Indy and St. Louis are mirror franchises.
  • Both are transplant teams (Baltimore and Los Angeles/Cleveland).
  • Both play in covered stadiums in mid-market Midwestern cities.
  • Both won Super Bowls in the last 10 years with prolific offenses.
  • Both claim Eric Dickerson and Marshal Faulk as notable alums.
  • Both are on epic streaks.
The funny thing about mirrors is that whatever side you are on, the other side is the opposite. So it is with the "mirror franchises." Indianapolis crushed the Rams to run their current regular-season win streak to 15 games. The Rams rolled over for the Colts to run their incredible losing streak to 17 games. They're just two losses shy of matching the 2006-09 Lions for the second longest losing streak in NFL history. Oh, and lucky us, the Rams head to Detroit week for an event the Mayan calendar predicted would mark the end of time.
 
Heading into Sunday, Indy was second in Passer Rating Differential (+43.08).  St. Louis was 26th (-21.16). 
 
The two teams held true to form this week: the Colts passed for three scores and the Rams threw two picks.  The rating differential on Sunday was +79.3 in favor of Indianapolis. 
 
After the Week 7 performance, the Colts remain No. 2 in Passer Rating Differential (+47.5), behind only New Orleans (+52.4). The Rams are No. 26 (-28.7). - DZ
 
Cincinnati 45, Chicago 10
Cedric Benson gave a classic "screw-you" performance in front of the Chicago franchise that made him the No. 4 overall pick in the 2005 draft, but dumped before the 2008 season after his legal troubles mounted.
 
He rushed for a career-high 189 yards and a touchdown against his former team. Bengals QB Carson Palmer tossed five touchdown passes, including four in a first half, and finished the game with more touchdown passes than incompletions (four).
 
The 35-point victory was Cincinnati's biggest in seven years. The Bengals beat the expansion Texans 38-3 in November 2002.
 
The Curse of Quarterbacking is rapidly taking hold over yet another Bears passer. Jay Cutler threw three interceptions and fumbled twice, losing one. His 82.9 passer rating ranks No. 21 in the NFL, one spot behind David Garrard (83.9) and one spot ahead of Seneca Wallace (82.6). - BS
 
Green Bay 31, Cleveland 3
Is it possible that Derek Anderson actually appeared in the 2007-08 Pro Bowl? Yes, it's true. But you wouldn't know it these days.
 
The Cleveland quarterback had his third straight depressing effort since replacing Brady Quinn (he looks downright Manning-Esque in comparison). Anderson completed just 12 of 29 passes for 99 yards and an interception. Since playing well in his first start against the Bengals in Week 4, Anderson has put up the following numbers
  • 23 of 70, 32.9%, 244 yards, 3.5 YPA, 1 TD, 3 INT, 30.9 rating
On the other side of the quarterbacking chasm, Aaron Rodgers continued his climb out of BrettFavre's shadow, tossing three touchdown passes and averaging over 12.3 YPA. More importantly, the most-sacked quarterback in the league was not taken down once. As we noted Friday, the Browns Defensive Hogs "just don't have the swines to put any heat on the Packers passer."
 
Offensively, Cleveland mustered just 139 yards of offense – fewer than Green Bay RB Ryan Grant produced on the ground Sunday (148).
 
The Browns have scored just four offensive touchdowns in their last 13 games, scoring a total of 103 points (7.9 PPG). - BS
 
Houston 24, San Francisco 21
The Cold, Hard Football Facts celebrated the Shaun Hill ascension this summer when he was named the No. 1 quarterback over Alex Smith, and again when he performed well over the first several week.
 
But perhaps we were a little hasty.
 
Hill was benched at intermission after an ineffective first half in favor of former No. 1 pick Alex Smith, who passed for 206 yards. Hill had passed for just 45 yards in a 50-yard first half for the 49ers offense.
 
Houston's Matt Schaub, meanwhile, continues to raise more eyebrows around the league. He completed 20 of 30, 66.7%, for 264 yards, 8.8 YPA, 2 TD, 0 INT and a 116.5 passer rating.
 
And, in case you haven't noticed, the sixth-year QB out of Virginia is pretty good this year. He's:
  • No. 7 in YPA (8.3)
  • No. 4 in passer rating (104.4)
  • No. 1 in passing yards (2,074)
  • No. 1 in TD passes (16)
Meanwhile, in a league where flashy, outspoken receivers seem to be the rage, two of the best tight ends were on display in Houston.
 
San Francisco's Vernon Davis (7 catches, 93 yards, 3 TDs) and Houston's Owen Daniels (7 catches, 123 yards 1 TD) led their teams in receiving.
 
Big receiving games from tight ends are a growing trend in the NFL. Of the 100 highest receiving yard games in 2009, 16 of them have been by tight ends. Compare that to 2008, when tight ends accounted for just seven of the 100 best receiving days, and 200 (four). - MS
 
N.Y. Jets 38, Oakland 0
In the biggest "it's about time" moment since our Chief Troll finally got laid, Oakland "quarterback" JaMarcus Russell was finally given a seat on the bench.
 
Unfortunately for Raiders fans, it took six-and-a-half games (and unfortunately for the Chief Troll, it took 38 years).
 
Somehow, Russell had been given 160 pass attempts despite this year despite completing just 46.3 percentage while averaging 5.6 YPA. Since 1990, only three quarterbacks have matched Russell's level of suckiness while attemping at least 160 passes:
  • Ryan Leaf in 1998 (245 attempts, 45.3%, 5.2 YPA)
  • Akili Smith in 2000 (267 attempts, 44.2%, 3.9 YPA)
  • Mike McMahon in 2005 (207 attempt, 45.4%, 4.3 YPA)
Even more sadly, the Bruce Gradkowski Era in Oakland began inauspiciously. In 35 minutes of game time, he completed 10 of 19 passes for 97 yards – a Russell-esque 5.1 YPA.
 
The Raiders, as we noted in our Real and Spectacular pick, entered the game with one shred of hope: the group of Defensive Hogs who ranked No. 11 in the NFL overall. But the Jets abused them like they were bottles of whiskey at the CHFF Christmas party, rushing for 316 yards and four TDs on 54 attempt (5.9 YPA). - MS
 
Buffalo 20, Carolina 9
The Bills got spanked statistically, but boasted four takeaways to earn the win. Buffalo has forced 10 turnovers in the last two weeks, both road victories over favored opponents.
 
The Panthers outgained Buffalo 425-116. But as CHFF predicted in our Real and Spectacular Week 7 picks, Buffalo's very good pass defense (No. 2 in Defensive Passer Rating through six weeks and still No. 2 today) made life a living hell for Jake Delhomme, forcing him into three costly interceptions.
 
Delhomme (27 of 44, 325 yards, 0 TD, 3 INT, 55.6 rating) continued his disturbing trend of costing Carolina any chance whatsoever of winning football games – a trend which began in last year's divisional playoff against Arizona.
 
Delhomme's season passer rating is now at 56.5, a huge decline from last season's serviceable 84.7 rating and a big reason why the 12-4 Panthers of 2008 are a distant memory seven weeks into the 2009 season. - TC
 





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