Tasty statistical savories straight from New Orleans

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Oct 13, 2009



The Cold, Hard Football Facts lust after the Giants-Saints game in New Orleans this Sunday with all the  uncontrollable gluttony of an obese Ignatius J. Reilly operating a French Quarter hot dog cart
 
In fact, the tasty statistical savories of this contest are enough to wash the bad taste of Week 5, arguably the worst slate of games in history, from our insatiable piehole. Coupled with the fact that this statistical juggernaut comes to us from the greatest tailgate-food city in the world and it's easily the No. 1  football feast of the 2009 regular season.
 
We've been looking forward this game since about Week 3, when it started to shape up as meeting of the NFL's two most powerful teams. Now, heading into Week 6, it's living up to the statistical billing. In fact, we haven't anticipated an afternoon in New Orleans this much since our last visit to the Night of Joy.
 
Here's why: in our entire history of lording over the seedy, boozy Bourbon Street of online gridiron analysis, we've never seen a meeting of two teams who were so dominant in so many ways.
 
We've had some games come close – namely the great Patriots-Colts battles of the past, specifically in 2007. That contest, you might remember, held the distinction of being the latest meeting of unbeatens in NFL history.
 
The Patriots entered the game with a record-setting offense and an 8-0 record, while the defending champion Colts were 7-0. Plus, those teams boasted the two best quarterbacks in the game, they had just played one of the great epic conference title games a few months earlier, and they had plenty of national hype and interest.
 
But the Patriots, while the greatest offensive team of our lifetime, were merely serviceable defensively. The Colts, meanwhile, had squeaked out close wins over average teams like Tennessee and Houston.
 
Those two marquee clubs simply did not dominate the stat sheets from top to bottom the way the Giants and Saints dominate heading into this Week 6 Battle of New Orleans. Both are unbeaten and both have dominated the opposition. New York has won its five games by an average of 16.0 PPG. New Orleans has won its four games by an average of 19.5 PPG.
 
But it's when you size them up in our Quality Stats that the Giants and Saints really stand out. In fact, for perhaps the only time in our history, two teams are among the league leaders in almost every single indicator we have on both sides of the ball Here's a look.
 
Giants (rank)
Category
Saints (rank)
8.18 (2)
7.46 (4)
60.38 (2)
51.29 (1)
+46.46 (2)
+57.09 (1)
4.67 (1)
5.33 (2)
4.46 (9)
4.96 (3)
3.18 (1)
4.51 (5)
47.89 (4)
44.44 (8)
10.0 (7)
5.67 (3)
4.81 (27)
3.81 (11)
13.57 (2)
12.88 (4)
24.14 (1)
26.79 (2)
14.83 (20)
17.89 (7)
13.82 (8)
11.51 (2)
1-0
2-0
 
***
 
Some tasty munchies that would satiate Big Easy glutton Ignatius J. Reilly:
 
His hometown Saints are awesome – We're not sure we've ever seen a team that ranked in so highly in every indicator a quarter of the way through the season as do the Saints right now. They rank in the top 10 in every single indicator, except in rush defense, where they're 11th. But surrendering an average of 3.81 YPA is certainly above average (4.0 YPA) and hardly a weakness to worry about.
 
The nation's "pundits" need to give a little more love to the Saints defense – The New Orleans offense, as offenses typically do, will get all the hype. But the defense absolutely deserves some love. We talked last week about Darren Sharper as the leading candidate for NFL defensive Player of the Year honors and that belief still stands. But the Saints look rock-solid in every single defensive indicator, highlighted by their No. 1 ranking in the critical Defensive Passer Rating category. Even their Defensive Hogs are a top-three unit right now.
 
The Giants do almost everything well, too – Of the 14 indicators listed above, the Giants are among the league leaders in 12 of them. But they are the only team in this contest that has a couple of obvious statistical weaknesses: the highly-touted Defensive Hogs of the G-Men are actually among the worst in the league at stopping the run (4.81 YPA, 27th). The Giants are also not a particular efficient defensive club, as evinced by their No. 20 rank in Bendability.
 
Key match-ups favor New Orleans – Both of these weaknesses for New York represent favorable match-ups for New Orleans. The Saints run the ball as well as almost any team in football (4.96 YPA) and they're among the most efficient scoring machines in football (No. 2 in Scoreability).
 
Eli's break-out season – By know everybody knows that Giant's Eli Manning is having a career year. In fact, it necessitates a little humble crawfish pie for the Cold, Hard Football Facts. In our "Bold and Useless NFC Predictions" we wrote that "New York fans will turn on Eli Manning and his $93 million contract when he struggles with his typical 75 passer rating this season."
 
So far, so bad for us and so good for him. As one Giants fan, Chef Mitch, wrote yesterday about that prediction, "Perhaps after looking at the Cold Hard Football Facts, you might want to throw Eli some respect."
 
Well, he's got it now: Eli's Giants trail only Big Brother Peyton's Colts in the critical Passing Yards Per Attempt category. The Giants are clearly Eli's team and he's playing as well as any quarterback in football, even better than stat-monster Drew Brees in many areas.
 
So who's gonna win? You'll have to check back Friday for our real and truly spectacular weekly picks. Until then, enjoy the tasty savories, statistical and otherwise.
 





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