Super Bowl Super Study Says Patriots, Broncos Built Like Champs
12. Passer Rating Differential
This study culminates with a look at the mother of all stats, Passer Rating Differential. Just check the extensive studies that Cold, Hard Football Facts previously conducted, and it shows how passing efficiency determines the best teams in the league. We’ll just remind you what’s going on with the chart below.
The threshold for this part of the study ends at a +8.0 Passer Rating Differential. This seems to offer fair amount to allow the good and dominant teams to have a legitimate chance at winning the Super Bowl. Note how there seems to be no certain correlation between the better teams in Passer Rating Differential winning the Super Bowl. Just get in the ballpark, and it seems like you can win as long as you execute in the postseason.
Four in this postseason fail to make the threshold. This includes the AFC North playoff teams in the 2012 Ravens (+5.78) and the 2012 Bengals (+7.26) failing to own a significant advantage in passing efficiency. Both teams are in the middle of the pack on both sides of the football in those passing indicators. Meanwhile, a pair of teams owns a negative Passer Rating Differential.
The 2012 Vikings own a -11.07 Passer Rating Differential, due in large part to the team finishing 25th in Defensive Passer Rating. The 2012 Colts own a -13.71 Passer Rating Differential, putting the team 27th overall in that quality stat category. It seems like those two teams have a long way to go.
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