Passer rating unleashed! (this time in the playoffs)

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Jan 28, 2011



By Luis DeLoureiro
Cold, Hard Football Facts all-time passing kidney stones leader
 
Joe Montana produced the greatest postseason passing performance in history in the 1989 playoffs. He plowed through three straight dominant wins with a rating of 146.4.
 
The data helped confirm something we stated last summer, that Montana produced the greatest passing season ever in 1989 – a No. 1 ranking based in no small part on his incredible postseason effort. Montana and the 49ers also produced the highest average-per-attempt in history during the 1989 regular season, with an incredible 9.49 YPA.
 
His gaudy 146.4 postseason passer rating, meanwhile, tells only part of the story.
 
A couple of weeks ago, ColdHardFootballFacts.com unleashed what we call unbounded passer ratings. That is, ratings without the artificial constraints placed on it by the folks who created the formula. In the existing system, 158.3 is considered a "perfect" passer rating.
 
But as we demonstrated, many players have produced passer ratings higher than 158.3. Incredibly, Montana surpassed that boundary TWICE in the 1989 postseason.
 
When the artificial boundaries are removed, Montana's "unbounded" passer rating jumps to 151.7. (All ratings in the rest of this post are "unbounded" and provided by playerfilter.com; all data is since 1970.)
 
Montana buried the Vikings, 41-13, with an "unbounded" rating of 158.5 in the divisional round. It's the second best divisional-round rating since 1970, the first year we analyzed.
 
Montana was beyond perfect again with a 165.4 in the Super Bowl, a 55-10 blowout of John Elway and the Broncos. It's the highest passer rating in Super Bowl history – and the biggest blowout, too.
 
Montana managed "only" a 132.9 unbounded rating in a 30-3 victory over the L.A. Rams in the 1989 NFC championship. While this was Montana's worst game in those playoffs, it was the seventh best performance in conference championship history.
 
In the next few weeks, we would like to quantify which playoff years stand out as the best in history, behind Montana's 1989 dominance. A few come to mind – Warner in 1999 and 2008 – but we're still working with the guys over at playerfilter.com to gather all the needed numbers. 
 
What about Rodgers?
Aaron Rodgers has been unleashing hell on opponents in the 2010 playoffs. While it doesn't compare to Montana's 1989 brilliance, it's not a bad performance for a player who, coming into the 2010 season, had started only one playoff game.
 
Rodgers was outstanding in the wildcard and divisional rounds of the 2010 playoffs.
 
Historically outstanding.
 
In games against the Eagles in the wildcard round and the top seeded Falcons in the divisional round, Rodgers posted ratings of 125.5 and 144.0, respectively.
 
His performance against the Falcons rates as the eighth best divisional-round performance since 1970.
 
His company in the top 10 divisional round quarterback performances includes Brett Favre (twice), Joe Montana, Kurt Warner, Tom Brady, Philip Rivers, Joe Theismann, Billy Kilmer and Peyton Manning. Of those players, all but Rivers have reached the Super Bowl and only Rivers and Kilmer have never won a Super Bowl.
 
That's good company.
 
But Rodgers couldn't keep up his staggering pace in blustery Chicago. His performance against the Steelers will go a long way toward determining how his 2010 postseason stacks up against the best in history.
 
The Lists
Below are the all-time best performances (based on "unbounded" ratings) for each playoff round. All data is since 1970. A couple notables:
 
Joe Montana – In that 1989 postseason, Montana produced the second-best divisional performance in history (since 1970), the seventh-best title-game performance and the single best Super Bowl performance. Newsflash: that guy was pretty good.
 
Terry Bradshaw – We call TB the best big-game gunslinger of all time, often noting his incredible 11.1 YPA in four Super Bowls. You'll also see his name littering the lists below: the No. 7 Super Bowl performance, in Pittsburgh's famous 35-31 win over Dallas in Super Bowl XIII. He also produced the top divisional-round performance in history, in Pittsburgh's 40-14 domination of the Colts in Baltimore in the 1976 postseason. Bradshaw was an average passer at best in the regular season, as evidenced by his career rating of 70.9. But put him in a big game, and the guy was money.
 
Kurt Warner – The Cold, Hard Football Facts love the guy. As you know, he owns the three best Super Bowl performances in history, based upon the meaningless measure of passing yards. He failed to make the top 10 in the more important measure of passer rating. However, you will see his name in the top three performances of all time in the wildcard, divisional and title-game rounds.
 
Peyton Manning – The future Hall of Famer is so prolific that the NFL someday will have to issue a special edition record book of Peyton Manning records. Among them? Manning posted the highest passer rating in postseason history, with his 197.1 effort in a wildcard-round game against Denver. The Colts won, 41-10.
 
Best Super Bowls, unbounded rating (since 1970)
Rank Player Year OPP Rating
1 Joe Montana 1989 DEN 165.4
2 Phil Simms 1986 DEN 160.1
3 Steve Young 1994 SD 150.8
4 Troy Aikman 1992 BUF 145.6
5 Doug Williams 1987 DEN 134.3
6 Joe Montana 1984 MIA 127.2
7 Terry Bradshaw 1978 DAL 124.0
8 Drew Brees 2009 IND 118.3
9 Joe Montana 1988 CIN 115.2
10 Jake Delhomme 2003 NE 113.6
 
Best conference title games, unbounded rating (since 1970)
Rank Player Year OPP Rating
1 Jim Plunkett 1980 @ SD 164.4
2 Kurt Warner 2008 PHI 153.7
3 Billy Kilmer 1972 DAL 148.8
4 Troy Aikman 1993 SF 144.9
5 Dan Marino 1984 PIT 140.2
6 Joe Montana 1988 @ CHI 136.0
7 Joe Montana 1989 LA 132.9
8 Tom Brady 2004 @ PIT 130.5
9 Jim Kelly 1990 OAK 128.9
10 Ben Roethlisberger 2005 @ DEN 124.9
11 Kerry Collins 2000 MIN 124.0
12 Roger Staubach 1975 @ LA 123.9
13 Peyton Manning 2009 @ NYJ 123.6
14 John Elway 1989 CLE 120.7
15 Troy Aikman 1992 @ SF 120.0
16 Matt Hasselbeck 2005 CAR 118.0
17 Ken Anderson 1981 SD 115.9
18 Rich Gannon 2002 TEN 114.5
19 John Elway 1987 CLE 114.4
20 Donovan McNabb 2004 ATL 111.1
 
Best divisional games, unbounded rating (since 1970)
Rank Player Year OPP Rating
1 Terry Bradshaw 1976 @ BAL 183.6
2 Joe Montana 1989 MIN 158.5
3 Kurt Warner 1999 MIN 157.5
4 Tom Brady 2007 JAX 154.2
5 Philip Rivers 2007 @ IND 152.1
6 Joe Theismann 1983 LA 151.0
7 Brett Favre 2009 @ DAL 150.3
8 Aaron Rodgers 2010 @ ATL 144.0
9 Brett Favre 2007 SEA 142.1
10 Peyton Manning 2003 @ KC 138.8
11 Brett Favre 1995 @ SF 132.9
12 Bernie Kosar 1989 BUF 130.1
13 Erik Kramer 1991 DAL 129.4
14 Ken Stabler 1974 MIA 128.9
15 Mark Sanchez 2010 @ NE 127.8
16 Jim Kelly 1990 MIA 125.5
17 Drew Brees 2009 @ ARI 125.4
18 Ken Stabler 1975 CIN 125.1
19 Jeff Hostetler 1993 @ BUF 125.0
20 Neil O'Donnell 1994 CLE 122.7
 
 
Best wildcard games, unbounded rating (since 1970)
Rank Player Year OPP Rating
1 Peyton Manning 2003 DEN 197.1
2 Kurt Warner 2009 @ GB 173.7
3 Lynn Dickey 1982 ARI 168.8
4 Joe Theismann 1982 DET 162.2
5 Ben Roethlisberger 2005 @ CIN 161.7
6 David Woodley 1982 NE 161.3
7 Peyton Manning 2004 DEN 155.9
8 Rodney Peete 1995 DET 143.8
9 Daunte Culpepper 2004 @ GB 143.5
10 Chad Pennington 2002 IND 142.4
11 Rich Gannon 2001 NYJ 133.4
12 Pat Ryan 1986 KC 131.2
13 Dan Marino 1994 KC 125.2
14 Boomer Esiason 1990 TEN 125.0
15 Aaron Rodgers 2010 @ PHI 122.5
16 Aaron Rodgers 2009 @ ARI 121.4
17 Aaron Brooks 2000 STL 117.9
18 Eli Manning 2007 @ TB 117.1
19 Tom Brady 2005 JAX 116.4
20 Frank Reich 1992 TEN 115.9





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