NFL Bottom Line: Stats That Defined Each Week 5 Game
By Justin Henry
Cold Hard Football Facts' Dr. Death (@jrhwriting)
We run through the signature statistical reason for each team's win or loss each week here at CHFF Insider.
WINNER: NEW YORK JETS
Not a lot of guffawing at Geno Smith on Monday night, even if the Falcons pass defense is spotty at best. Atlanta's 101.47 defensive passer rating was eighth worst on Monday morning, and Smith worsened it with a 147.70 rated, three touchdown, no-mistake masterpiece.
LOSER: ATLANTA FALCONS
Jon Gruden harped on the inexperience of the Atlanta linebacking corps, and for good reason: the Jets made moving the ball look too easy. The Falcons allowed 30 points on 375 yards, Bendability rating of 12.50 Yards Per Point Allowed, or a touchdown every 87.50 yards allowed.
WINNER: CLEVELAND BROWNS
The red-headed stepchild of the North gained temporary sole possession of first place, and did so o
n Brandon Weeden's performance in the wake of Brian Hoyer's injury. Weeden's 95.31 Offensive Passer Rating saw a touchdown, no picks, and confident deep throws.
LOSER: BUFFALO BILLS
The Bills had their own quarterback issues after losing EJ Manuel to a vicious-looking LCL sprain. Surrogate Jeff Tuel not only struggled statistically (eight for 20 in passing), but lost the turnover battle, as Cleveland was perfect, and so were the Bills, before the TJ Ward pick-six.
WINNER: ST. LOUIS RAMS
It'd been downhill for Sam Bradford since a good opening day against the Cardinals, but those Jaguars, they're a fountain of rejuvenation. Bradford dominated Jacksonville's D, throwing three touchdown passes on 222 yards, with no picks, en route to a 105.20 passer rating.
LOSER: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Another day, another offensive stall-out for the rock bottom Jags. The run fared slightly better than usual (3.84 YPA), but Jacksonville could only convert 25 percent of their third downs (three of 12), and gave up a sack or interception on 10.53 percent of dropbacks.
WINNER: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
It was an ugly struggle of a game, but Kansas City made the most of their opportunities. Thanks in big part to the punt-muff-turned-Marcus Cooper touchdown, the Chiefs scored a touchdown every 98.27 yards gained (14.04 Scoreability rating).
LOSER: TENNESSEE TITANS
It was an admirable effort by Ryan Fitzpatrick to fill in for Jake Locker, but there were enough kinks to doom the Titans for the day. Kansas City brought solid pressure, forcing a sack or interception on ten percent of dropbacks, which included the Titans first two picks of the year.
WINNER: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
There's nothing flashy about Nick Foles, but once pressed in for the ailing Michael Vick, the sophomore guided the offense relatively smoothly. Philadelphia on the day converted 44.44 percent of third downs, and committed zero turnovers, compared to New York's four.
LOSER: NEW YORK GIANTS
Just when you think Eli Manning and the offense have hit rock bottom, somebody tosses them a shovel. Manning's QB rating, against a pressure-deficient Eagles defense, was a scant 56.08. That included three fourth-quarter interceptions, and a 46.15 completion percentage.
WINNER: BALTIMORE RAVENS
Take away the pick-six, and Baltimore managed to hold Ryan Tannehill's offense to 16 points. You can thank their defensive pressure: six sacks (three from Terrell Suggs), two yards a carry on the ground, and a putrid 18.75 percent third down percentage.
LOSER: MIAMI DOLPHINS
The Ravens scored a touchdown every 108.23 yards gained (15.46 yards per point). For the year, the Dolphins held opponents to 17.37 yards a point, so Baltimore managed to impose their will considerably, en route to the Caleb Sturgis field goal miss at the end.
WINNER: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Andrew Luck continues his push at being this generation's 'Captain Comeback' by rallying the Colts past Seattle in the fourth quarter. Along the way to scoring the game's final 11 points, Luck threw no interceptions and two touchdowns en route to a 104.00 passer rating.
LOSER: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
The Colts' Defensive Passer Rating flew under the radar compared to some other defenses, clocking in at 65.78. On Sunday, they managed to stymie Russell Wilson's game, holding him to a 78.70 passer rating, on 48.39 percent completions and a game-ending interception.
WINNER: GREEN BAY PACKERS
It wasn't a typical "Aaron Rodgers Fantasy Owner Special", but the offense ran smoothly most of the day. The Packers ran for 5.45 YPA (aided no doubt by Randall Cobb), were only sacked once in 35 dropbacks, and converted 43.75 percent of third downs.
LOSER: DETROIT LIONS
Without Calvin Johnson, the Lions offense sputtered and stuttered, resulting in zero turnovers, but six punts. On 326 yards of offense, Detroit could only score nine points, for a 36.22 Scoreability rating, a huge drop from their 13.27 average on the year.
WINNER: CINCINNATI BENGALS
The Bengals defense ranked 15th in the league in Bendability (16.49 yards per point allowed), and managed an impressive outing against Tom Brady's offense. Holding Brady to six points on 279 yards allowed is good for a 46.50 Bendability rating.
LOSER: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Although the Patriots managed 4.56 YPA rushing, the rest of their offense failed in Cincinnati's soggy conditions. Brady was sacked or picked off every 11.90 percent of dropbacks, and worse yet: New England converted only one of its 12 third down attempts (8.33 percent).
WINNER: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Drew Brees gave a worthy encore from his Monday night evisceration of the Dolphins, flinging two touchdown passes on his way to a 120.00 passer rating. Before Sunday, the worst a team had ripped apart Chicago's passing D was Cincinnati, who rated at 97.22 on opening day.
LOSER: CHICAGO BEARS
A handful of punts, a lost Jay Cutler fumble, and settling for a field goal with goal to go hindered Chicago's second-most efficient scoring team (11.09 in Scoreability before Sunday). Rob Ryan's gang held Chicago to just 25.11 yards per point, or a touchdown every 175.78 yards gained.
WINNER: ARIZONA CARDINALS
The Cardinals harassed Cam Newton from start to finish, either sacking him or picking him off once every five dropbacks. This featured seven sacks (including two from the returning Daryl Washington, who also had a pick), and a Calais Campbell sack for a safety.
LOSER: CAROLINA PANTHERS
It wasn't as if the Panthers weren't moving the ball. Newton and company strung together 403 yards for the day, with just six points to show for it. That's a point every 67.17 yards gained, or 470.17 yards needed on average for Carolina to score a touchdown.
WINNER: DENVER BRONCOS
Dallas can hang their hat on finally forcing Peyton Manning to throw an interception, but the pick didn't affect the outcome. Manning still managed a 129.56 passer rating on the day, with four touchdown passes, and a touchdown run on a brilliantly executed bootleg.
LOSER: DALLAS COWBOYS
Each team had two turnovers, but it was Dallas' that would prove more costly. An early Dez Bryant fumble led to points for the Broncos, but Tony Romo's interception to Danny Trevathan, deep in Cowboy territory, led to Matt Prater's gimme field goal to end it.
WINNER: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
The 49ers' 77.83 Defensive Passer Rating was matched up against a struggling offense, and it didn't take long to continue the hurt. San Fran's D held Matt Schaub to a 32.20 Offensive Passer Rating, and necessitated bringing in TJ Yates early in the fourth quarter.
LOSER: HOUSTON TEXANS
Schaub made NFL history, throwing a pick six on his opening drive, to become the first quarterback to throw one in four straight games. It was all downhill from there, as Schaub threw two more picks. San Francisco won the turnover battle, four to zero.
WINNER: OAKLAND RAIDERS
The Chargers putrid 108.89 Defensiver Passer Rating proved that even an inexperienced one-time afterthought can go wild on them. Terrelle Pryor went 18 of 23 for 221 yards and a pair of touchdowns, for a 135.70 rating on the night.
LOSER: SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Say it in your best Jim Mora voice: "FIVE TURNOVERS." Rivers' three interceptions, including two in the final minutes, helped allow Oakland to take control. Danny Woodhead also lost a fumble that turned into a Charles Woodson TD runback.
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