CHFF Super Study: Which QBs Decline After Seven Games?
Cold, Hard Football Facts for Nov 03, 2011
By Scott Kacsmar
Cold, Hard Football Facts Superman
As the calendar turns to November, the NFL season goes through its own set of changes. Teams have more tape to study as they try to figure out tendencies, and the weather becomes a bigger factor. While the running game is considered to remain static, it’s the passing game that figures to take the hardest hit as defenses learn more as the air cools and winds strengthen.
Does the quarterback that looked so flawless in September and October under good conditions suddenly start seeing his completion percentage and yards per attempt dip as he attempts to handle these changes? Does the battle of attrition with injuries begin to take its toll on an offense’s production and efficiency? Does the dome quarterback really have that significant of an advantage over his outdoor peers?
There would be a lot more data required to answer all of these questions, but what we are going to look at is how quarterbacks have performed historically in the 16-game, Blount-rule passing era (that’s since 1978 in case you didn’t know) when they reached the point of the season we are entering now, relative to their early-season performance.
Consistency by itself does not equal greatness. Kyle Boller is great at always being bad. Only being consistently great equals greatness. Which players are able to maintain the same level of play all throughout out the season? Who actually gets better? Who gets worse? This is more about comparing the quarterback to himself (and, as always, his teammates) than to other players.
It was worth exploring whether or not this is exclusive to a quarterback like Manning, or if most quarterbacks see their passing stats decline for reasons stated earlier. Eli plays most of his games outdoors, and plays his home games in the sometimes windy (New) Meadowlands, so perhaps he’s just at a disadvantage.
If not, then Eli has simply not been a quarterback’s that maintained or improved his level of play in the second half of the season, which is exactly why he struggles to find his name in the conversation of elite quarterbacks.
Onto the number crunching.
We used the Play Index at pro-football-reference.com to look at each quarterback’s seasons in two splits: his team’s first 7 games, and then his team’s last 9 games.
Why not use a perfect 8/8 split? It’s the 7th game that often concludes the month of October, and that’s exactly where we are in the season. Every team has completed at least 7 games in 2011.
Deciding which quarterbacks to use was difficult, as someone like Matthew Stafford just completed his only real early season split in three years, and he missed practically the entire second half of 2010. There’s also the problem of rookies that start late in the season (that’s what Eli Manning did in 2004) and may have bad numbers that season, with no bad early-season numbers to balance it out.
On the reverse side, someone like Ryan Fitzpatrick has rarely ever played a lot of games at the start of the season. He has this year, and is having the best stretch of his career, which slants the numbers because the early-to-late ratio of games is too low.
In a perfect world, many quarterbacks would start all 16 games in multiple seasons, keeping the exact 7:9 ratio to examine, but only Peyton Manning has done that.
Games played include all game appearances (not just games started). Keep that in mind when looking at the team record. Games started would definitely have to be factored in for the true record, as players such as Matt Cassel can come in late for an easy New England win and get credited for Tom Brady’s win. Since this is more about passing performance rather than team record, take such records for quarterbacks that had a lot of non-starter appearances with a grain of salt.
All stats used are from the regular season only.
Quick Math Reminder: With a stat like passer rating, the higher your rating the harder it is to maintain. Even if two quarterbacks had the same number of attempts, but one had a rating of 105.0 and the other had a rating of 70.0, an interception on each passer’s next attempt would decrease the 105.0 rating by a larger number than the 70.0 rating. It may not be a huge difference, but these things can add up in a hurry. A five-point drop from 70.0 compared to 105.0 does not require the same amount of bad plays.
Some players stretch the idea of what active means (Delhomme, Pennington, Garrard), but they’re still included.
Consideration was taken to not include 2011 in the stats since we’re just really getting into the last 9 games, but since every quarterback is in at least his third season, we kept it in.
You can look at a full table of active passers for the first 7 (F7) games here, and for the last 9 (L9) games here.
Eli Manning does in fact suffer the second largest decline in passer rating (-14.10) in the last 9 games of the season. Depending on what Eli and Ryan Fitzpatrick (-16.40) do the rest of this season, Eli could end up with the largest decline. Joe Flacco (+9.00) actually has the best increase in the last 9 games. David Garrard (-0.30) is the most consistent, as defined by the closest difference to 0 in the splits.
Eli’s completion percentage is the fourth biggest decline (-3.73%). Kyle Orton has the worst decline (-4.50%), while Matt Hasselbeck has the best increase (3.35%). Matt Schaub (-.06%) is the most consistent.
For yards per attempt (YPA), Eli has the second worst decline (-0.98); almost a full yard. Only David Carr (-1.23), Eli’s backup, is worse. Part of how Joe Flacco increases his passer rating is because of his +0.54 boost in YPA. Believe it or not, Donovan McNabb is the most consistent YPA performer (-0.01).
Don’t let a San Diego fan miss these kind words: Eli also has the biggest decline in win % (-.245). Eli has started the first 7 games with a 36-14 (.720) record, which is second to only Tom Brady (.729). But he’s finished just 29-32 (.475) in the last 9 games.
Who has the best increase in win %? Philip Rivers. He goes from 22-21 in the first 7 games of the season, to a ridiculous 40-9 in the final 9 games. Fitzpatrick (+0.006) is the most consistent winner (or loser, given his record).
Among active quarterbacks, there’s no denying Eli’s second half slumps are a real problem. Why they happen is for another debate, but the Cold, Hard Football Facts show that he is not living up to expectations and will need to correct this.
Passer Rating
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-20.80)
Best Increase: Tony Banks (+10.80)
Most Consistent: Jim Kelly (-0.20)
Completion Percentage
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-6.87%)
Best Increase: Doug Williams (4.39%)
Most Consistent: Ken Anderson (-0.03%)
Yards per Attempt
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-0.89)
Best Increase: Tony Banks (+0.94)
Most Consistent: Gus Frerotte (0.00)
Win %
Worst Decline: Daunte Culpepper (-.202)
Best Increase: Trent Green (+.191)
Most Consistent: Kurt Warner (-0.001)
Interception numbers were surprisingly consistent among both groups and each split. The active TD% is down, which can explain the larger decrease in passer rating. Amazingly, both groups saw about a 1% drop in completion percentage in the last 9 games. YPA was only about a tenth lower for the actives.
There are some very interesting names to come out of the lists of best and worst declines. While it’s good to see old quarterbacks remain very consistent at passer rating, such as Elway, Young, Kelly and Aikman, you also see Joey Harrington and Jeff George right in the mix.
What would a fan want out of their quarterback? Is it better to improve as the season goes along, or would you rather have the player that is fairly consistent all year round?
As for Eli, make note that Phil Simms kept his numbers consistent. Kerry Collins, when he was with the Giants (1999-2003), saw his numbers improve in the last 9 games of the season. Mark Sanchez plays in the same stadium and he sees a slight increase as well in the last 9 games. There’s not any noticeable New York effect.
The only quarterbacks to see the kind of statistical declines like Eli are Joe Ferguson and Ryan Fitzpatrick. They both played for Buffalo. However, Jim Kelly was a very consistent quarterback for the Bills. Fitzpatrick is an odd case, who may very well rewrite his history with his new semi-franchise quarterback contract.
Earlier this week Eli’s second-half declines seemed interesting. Now after further review, they look historically bad. With such a difficult schedule coming up, one wouldn’t necessarily fault Eli for some regression this season. But at some point, if you want to be a great player, you need to back it up beyond the month of October. Manning has a Super Bowl ring, but that’s also the only season where he has won a playoff game. To be in the elite class, consistently elite performance is required.
To this point everything we’ve shown you has been career cumulative stats. We’ll leave you with a look at Eli’s individual seasons compared to the usual top quarterbacks in the game today. This time red indicates the last 9 games of that season. Non-starter seasons excluded.
Cold, Hard Football Facts Superman
Does the quarterback that looked so flawless in September and October under good conditions suddenly start seeing his completion percentage and yards per attempt dip as he attempts to handle these changes? Does the battle of attrition with injuries begin to take its toll on an offense’s production and efficiency? Does the dome quarterback really have that significant of an advantage over his outdoor peers?
There would be a lot more data required to answer all of these questions, but what we are going to look at is how quarterbacks have performed historically in the 16-game, Blount-rule passing era (that’s since 1978 in case you didn’t know) when they reached the point of the season we are entering now, relative to their early-season performance.
Consistency by itself does not equal greatness. Kyle Boller is great at always being bad. Only being consistently great equals greatness. Which players are able to maintain the same level of play all throughout out the season? Who actually gets better? Who gets worse? This is more about comparing the quarterback to himself (and, as always, his teammates) than to other players.
The Motivation
Earlier this week we looked at Eli Manning’s great start to the 2011 season, and noted that we have seen strong starts by Mr. October before, only to see him struggle once the season shifted to November and beyond.It was worth exploring whether or not this is exclusive to a quarterback like Manning, or if most quarterbacks see their passing stats decline for reasons stated earlier. Eli plays most of his games outdoors, and plays his home games in the sometimes windy (New) Meadowlands, so perhaps he’s just at a disadvantage.
If not, then Eli has simply not been a quarterback’s that maintained or improved his level of play in the second half of the season, which is exactly why he struggles to find his name in the conversation of elite quarterbacks.
Onto the number crunching.
The Methodology
We used the Play Index at pro-football-reference.com to look at each quarterback’s seasons in two splits: his team’s first 7 games, and then his team’s last 9 games.
Why not use a perfect 8/8 split? It’s the 7th game that often concludes the month of October, and that’s exactly where we are in the season. Every team has completed at least 7 games in 2011.
Deciding which quarterbacks to use was difficult, as someone like Matthew Stafford just completed his only real early season split in three years, and he missed practically the entire second half of 2010. There’s also the problem of rookies that start late in the season (that’s what Eli Manning did in 2004) and may have bad numbers that season, with no bad early-season numbers to balance it out.
On the reverse side, someone like Ryan Fitzpatrick has rarely ever played a lot of games at the start of the season. He has this year, and is having the best stretch of his career, which slants the numbers because the early-to-late ratio of games is too low.
In a perfect world, many quarterbacks would start all 16 games in multiple seasons, keeping the exact 7:9 ratio to examine, but only Peyton Manning has done that.
Games played include all game appearances (not just games started). Keep that in mind when looking at the team record. Games started would definitely have to be factored in for the true record, as players such as Matt Cassel can come in late for an easy New England win and get credited for Tom Brady’s win. Since this is more about passing performance rather than team record, take such records for quarterbacks that had a lot of non-starter appearances with a grain of salt.
All stats used are from the regular season only.
Quick Math Reminder: With a stat like passer rating, the higher your rating the harder it is to maintain. Even if two quarterbacks had the same number of attempts, but one had a rating of 105.0 and the other had a rating of 70.0, an interception on each passer’s next attempt would decrease the 105.0 rating by a larger number than the 70.0 rating. It may not be a huge difference, but these things can add up in a hurry. A five-point drop from 70.0 compared to 105.0 does not require the same amount of bad plays.
Eli vs. the Active Quarterbacks
There were 33 active quarterbacks used, which includes starters from all tiers, and some backups. Eighteen of the quarterbacks are active starters as of right now. That’s actually a good representation of today’s quarterbacks when you consider the starters that are rookies/second-year players (Newton, Dalton, Ponder, Gabbert, Tebow, McCoy, Bradford) or limited experience veterans (Kolb, Jackson, Moore, Painter, Beck).Some players stretch the idea of what active means (Delhomme, Pennington, Garrard), but they’re still included.
Consideration was taken to not include 2011 in the stats since we’re just really getting into the last 9 games, but since every quarterback is in at least his third season, we kept it in.
You can look at a full table of active passers for the first 7 (F7) games here, and for the last 9 (L9) games here.
| Active | Comp. % | YPA | Passer Rating | Win% | ||||||||
| Quarterbacks | F7 | L9 | Diff | F7 | L9 | Diff | F7 | L9 | Diff | F7 | L9 | Diff |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 61.8 | 57.8 | -3.97 | 6.58 | 6.12 | -0.46 | 87.0 | 70.6 | -16.40 | 0.444 | 0.450 | 0.006 |
| Eli Manning | 60.5 | 56.8 | -3.73 | 7.47 | 6.50 | -0.98 | 89.5 | 75.4 | -14.10 | 0.720 | 0.475 | -0.245 |
| David Carr | 60.8 | 58.7 | -2.07 | 7.02 | 5.80 | -1.23 | 81.9 | 68.6 | -13.30 | 0.404 | 0.283 | -0.122 |
| Kyle Orton | 60.3 | 55.8 | -4.50 | 6.83 | 6.20 | -0.63 | 85.5 | 72.8 | -12.70 | 0.515 | 0.471 | -0.045 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 66.7 | 64.0 | -2.63 | 8.53 | 7.79 | -0.75 | 106.0 | 97.9 | -8.10 | 0.667 | 0.548 | -0.118 |
| Charlie Batch | 57.1 | 55.1 | -2.03 | 6.98 | 6.78 | -0.20 | 81.0 | 74.2 | -6.80 | 0.556 | 0.432 | -0.123 |
| Alex Smith | 58.3 | 57.1 | -1.14 | 6.37 | 6.21 | -0.16 | 77.9 | 71.4 | -6.50 | 0.344 | 0.483 | 0.139 |
| BenRoethlisberger | 64.5 | 62.2 | -2.34 | 8.25 | 7.87 | -0.38 | 96.1 | 90.1 | -6.00 | 0.673 | 0.724 | 0.051 |
| Matt Schaub | 64.3 | 64.3 | -0.06 | 7.92 | 7.76 | -0.16 | 94.7 | 89.1 | -5.60 | 0.571 | 0.360 | -0.211 |
| Mark Sanchez | 53.9 | 55.8 | 1.85 | 6.53 | 6.71 | 0.18 | 75.3 | 69.7 | -5.60 | 0.619 | 0.563 | -0.057 |
| Michael Vick | 58.1 | 54.6 | -3.50 | 7.33 | 6.82 | -0.50 | 84.1 | 79.1 | -5.00 | 0.609 | 0.534 | -0.075 |
| Rex Grossman | 56.8 | 52.5 | -4.38 | 6.97 | 6.08 | -0.89 | 72.4 | 68.8 | -3.60 | 0.667 | 0.519 | -0.148 |
| Jon Kitna | 61.5 | 59.6 | -1.96 | 6.78 | 6.65 | -0.13 | 79.5 | 76.2 | -3.30 | 0.407 | 0.388 | -0.019 |
| Byron Leftwich | 59.1 | 57.2 | -1.86 | 6.74 | 6.42 | -0.32 | 80.9 | 77.8 | -3.10 | 0.429 | 0.583 | 0.155 |
| Peyton Manning | 64.9 | 65.0 | 0.14 | 7.79 | 7.46 | -0.33 | 96.6 | 93.5 | -3.10 | 0.714 | 0.650 | -0.065 |
| Jason Campbell | 61.8 | 60.1 | -1.73 | 6.95 | 6.64 | -0.31 | 84.3 | 81.6 | -2.70 | 0.563 | 0.359 | -0.204 |
| Jay Cutler | 62.9 | 60.0 | -2.88 | 7.49 | 7.03 | -0.45 | 85.5 | 83.3 | -2.20 | 0.529 | 0.488 | -0.042 |
| Tom Brady | 64.1 | 63.6 | -0.54 | 7.50 | 7.40 | -0.10 | 96.8 | 94.7 | -2.10 | 0.729 | 0.793 | 0.064 |
| Donovan McNabb | 59.0 | 58.9 | -0.10 | 6.94 | 6.93 | -0.01 | 86.5 | 84.6 | -1.90 | 0.571 | 0.611 | 0.040 |
| Chad Pennington | 66.8 | 65.4 | -1.44 | 7.45 | 7.02 | -0.43 | 91.0 | 89.5 | -1.50 | 0.381 | 0.596 | 0.215 |
| Derek Anderson | 51.5 | 53.8 | 2.32 | 6.42 | 6.32 | -0.10 | 69.4 | 68.3 | -1.10 | 0.407 | 0.375 | -0.032 |
| Tony Romo | 63.7 | 64.2 | 0.52 | 8.08 | 7.94 | -0.14 | 95.2 | 94.5 | -0.70 | 0.574 | 0.628 | 0.053 |
| David Garrard | 63.9 | 60.5 | -3.45 | 6.89 | 7.08 | 0.18 | 86.0 | 85.7 | -0.30 | 0.531 | 0.500 | -0.031 |
| Mark Brunell | 59.3 | 59.7 | 0.41 | 6.72 | 7.11 | 0.39 | 83.5 | 84.5 | 1.00 | 0.444 | 0.610 | 0.165 |
| Philip Rivers | 63.7 | 63.9 | 0.21 | 8.19 | 7.83 | -0.36 | 94.7 | 96.5 | 1.80 | 0.512 | 0.816 | 0.305 |
| Drew Brees | 66.0 | 65.2 | -0.85 | 7.34 | 7.38 | 0.04 | 90.8 | 93.7 | 2.90 | 0.586 | 0.566 | -0.020 |
| Kerry Collins | 56.0 | 55.4 | -0.62 | 6.46 | 6.59 | 0.14 | 71.8 | 75.3 | 3.50 | 0.438 | 0.459 | 0.021 |
| Carson Palmer | 61.6 | 64.0 | 2.40 | 6.88 | 7.21 | 0.33 | 84.3 | 88.4 | 4.10 | 0.426 | 0.510 | 0.084 |
| Matt Cassel | 60.5 | 58.4 | -2.09 | 6.39 | 6.92 | 0.53 | 80.3 | 85.3 | 5.00 | 0.606 | 0.600 | -0.006 |
| Jake Delhomme | 58.7 | 59.9 | 1.16 | 6.93 | 7.36 | 0.43 | 78.5 | 83.7 | 5.20 | 0.553 | 0.630 | 0.076 |
| Matt Hasselbeck | 58.4 | 61.8 | 3.35 | 6.72 | 7.10 | 0.38 | 79.7 | 85.0 | 5.30 | 0.543 | 0.531 | -0.012 |
| Matt Ryan | 60.0 | 61.9 | 1.86 | 6.89 | 6.86 | -0.03 | 83.0 | 89.3 | 6.30 | 0.607 | 0.800 | 0.193 |
| Joe Flacco | 60.2 | 61.4 | 1.26 | 6.89 | 7.43 | 0.54 | 82.0 | 91.0 | 9.00 | 0.643 | 0.704 | 0.061 |
Eli Manning does in fact suffer the second largest decline in passer rating (-14.10) in the last 9 games of the season. Depending on what Eli and Ryan Fitzpatrick (-16.40) do the rest of this season, Eli could end up with the largest decline. Joe Flacco (+9.00) actually has the best increase in the last 9 games. David Garrard (-0.30) is the most consistent, as defined by the closest difference to 0 in the splits.
Eli’s completion percentage is the fourth biggest decline (-3.73%). Kyle Orton has the worst decline (-4.50%), while Matt Hasselbeck has the best increase (3.35%). Matt Schaub (-.06%) is the most consistent.
For yards per attempt (YPA), Eli has the second worst decline (-0.98); almost a full yard. Only David Carr (-1.23), Eli’s backup, is worse. Part of how Joe Flacco increases his passer rating is because of his +0.54 boost in YPA. Believe it or not, Donovan McNabb is the most consistent YPA performer (-0.01).
Don’t let a San Diego fan miss these kind words: Eli also has the biggest decline in win % (-.245). Eli has started the first 7 games with a 36-14 (.720) record, which is second to only Tom Brady (.729). But he’s finished just 29-32 (.475) in the last 9 games.
Who has the best increase in win %? Philip Rivers. He goes from 22-21 in the first 7 games of the season, to a ridiculous 40-9 in the final 9 games. Fitzpatrick (+0.006) is the most consistent winner (or loser, given his record).
Among active quarterbacks, there’s no denying Eli’s second half slumps are a real problem. Why they happen is for another debate, but the Cold, Hard Football Facts show that he is not living up to expectations and will need to correct this.
Inactive 1978-2010 Quarterbacks
How about looking at a group of quarterbacks that have more complete career data? We looked at 67 quarterbacks (giving this study 100 total, which was not intentional) from 1978-2010 that threw at least 1,000 passes throughout their career in the first 7 games of the season. Only regular seasons from 1978 to 2010 were included.| 1978-2010 | Comp. % | YPA | Passer Rating | Win% | ||||||||
| Quarterbacks | F7 | L9 | Diff | F7 | L9 | Diff | F7 | L9 | Diff | F7 | L9 | Diff |
| Joe Ferguson | 57.5 | 50.6 | -6.87 | 7.06 | 6.17 | -0.89 | 80.8 | 60.0 | -20.80 | 0.472 | 0.371 | -0.100 |
| Ron Jaworski | 56.9 | 51.1 | -5.83 | 7.12 | 6.76 | -0.37 | 80.7 | 69.9 | -10.80 | 0.576 | 0.454 | -0.122 |
| Brian Griese | 62.9 | 62.4 | -0.55 | 7.15 | 6.72 | -0.43 | 87.4 | 77.1 | -10.30 | 0.660 | 0.465 | -0.195 |
| Vinny Testaverde | 57.6 | 55.6 | -1.94 | 7.12 | 6.71 | -0.41 | 80.4 | 70.3 | -10.10 | 0.473 | 0.378 | -0.095 |
| Chris Miller | 56.6 | 52.8 | -3.74 | 7.05 | 6.34 | -0.71 | 79.9 | 70.3 | -9.60 | 0.391 | 0.346 | -0.045 |
| Jeff Hostetler | 60.5 | 56.2 | -4.27 | 7.30 | 6.82 | -0.48 | 85.2 | 76.9 | -8.30 | 0.612 | 0.640 | 0.028 |
| Rodney Peete | 58.7 | 55.4 | -3.34 | 7.25 | 6.58 | -0.67 | 76.8 | 68.6 | -8.20 | 0.556 | 0.500 | -0.056 |
| Bobby Hebert | 60.8 | 57.7 | -3.12 | 7.28 | 6.73 | -0.55 | 82.8 | 74.8 | -8.00 | 0.563 | 0.537 | -0.025 |
| Richard Todd | 56.7 | 54.5 | -2.20 | 7.32 | 6.76 | -0.56 | 74.4 | 66.6 | -7.80 | 0.446 | 0.489 | 0.044 |
| Drew Bledsoe | 57.2 | 57.1 | -0.07 | 6.89 | 6.42 | -0.46 | 81.2 | 73.4 | -7.80 | 0.483 | 0.524 | 0.041 |
| Danny White | 62.5 | 57.1 | -5.44 | 7.53 | 7.35 | -0.18 | 85.5 | 78.5 | -7.00 | 0.731 | 0.600 | -0.131 |
| Tommy Kramer | 56.2 | 54.1 | -2.10 | 7.03 | 6.50 | -0.52 | 76.0 | 69.1 | -6.90 | 0.569 | 0.418 | -0.151 |
| Steve Grogan | 53.9 | 51.9 | -1.97 | 8.02 | 7.37 | -0.66 | 75.4 | 68.8 | -6.60 | 0.600 | 0.472 | -0.128 |
| Brad Johnson | 62.2 | 61.2 | -0.94 | 6.96 | 6.51 | -0.45 | 85.9 | 79.7 | -6.20 | 0.618 | 0.580 | -0.039 |
| Steve Bartkowski | 57.7 | 57.5 | -0.26 | 7.22 | 7.02 | -0.21 | 82.7 | 77.0 | -5.70 | 0.466 | 0.511 | 0.045 |
| Aaron Brooks | 56.7 | 56.3 | -0.33 | 6.78 | 6.87 | 0.09 | 81.7 | 76.4 | -5.30 | 0.500 | 0.382 | -0.118 |
| Jim Harbaugh | 60.1 | 57.8 | -2.21 | 6.95 | 6.52 | -0.43 | 80.4 | 75.3 | -5.10 | 0.474 | 0.444 | -0.029 |
| Joe Montana | 64.1 | 62.5 | -1.65 | 7.74 | 7.34 | -0.39 | 95.0 | 90.0 | -5.00 | 0.679 | 0.717 | 0.038 |
| Neil O'Donnell | 59.4 | 56.1 | -3.32 | 6.98 | 6.45 | -0.53 | 84.2 | 79.3 | -4.90 | 0.508 | 0.613 | 0.104 |
| Elvis Grbac | 57.8 | 60.3 | 2.48 | 6.83 | 6.88 | 0.05 | 82.3 | 77.5 | -4.80 | 0.667 | 0.571 | -0.095 |
| Dan Fouts | 62.0 | 58.4 | -3.57 | 7.98 | 7.72 | -0.26 | 86.2 | 82.0 | -4.20 | 0.538 | 0.591 | 0.052 |
| Marc Bulger | 61.7 | 62.5 | 0.79 | 7.29 | 7.11 | -0.19 | 86.3 | 82.8 | -3.50 | 0.422 | 0.431 | 0.009 |
| Scott Mitchell | 55.0 | 55.9 | 0.88 | 6.57 | 6.81 | 0.23 | 76.9 | 73.6 | -3.30 | 0.500 | 0.450 | -0.050 |
| Jim McMahon | 59.7 | 55.9 | -3.80 | 7.28 | 6.78 | -0.49 | 79.4 | 76.7 | -2.70 | 0.635 | 0.759 | 0.124 |
| Phil Simms | 55.8 | 55.1 | -0.64 | 7.29 | 7.12 | -0.16 | 79.9 | 77.2 | -2.70 | 0.579 | 0.591 | 0.012 |
| Chris Chandler | 57.4 | 58.7 | 1.36 | 7.13 | 7.10 | -0.03 | 80.6 | 77.9 | -2.70 | 0.333 | 0.455 | 0.121 |
| Kurt Warner | 67.2 | 64.0 | -3.20 | 8.01 | 7.89 | -0.11 | 95.0 | 92.5 | -2.50 | 0.576 | 0.576 | -0.001 |
| Lynn Dickey | 59.5 | 55.9 | -3.63 | 7.97 | 7.72 | -0.24 | 79.4 | 77.0 | -2.40 | 0.405 | 0.500 | 0.095 |
| Dan Marino | 59.7 | 59.2 | -0.45 | 7.47 | 7.25 | -0.22 | 87.8 | 85.4 | -2.40 | 0.673 | 0.558 | -0.115 |
| Jeff Garcia | 62.6 | 60.8 | -1.77 | 7.08 | 6.85 | -0.23 | 88.8 | 86.6 | -2.20 | 0.518 | 0.464 | -0.054 |
| RandallCunningham | 57.8 | 55.5 | -2.33 | 7.19 | 6.80 | -0.40 | 82.6 | 80.4 | -2.20 | 0.566 | 0.604 | 0.038 |
| Jay Schroeder | 50.3 | 51.1 | 0.79 | 7.30 | 7.04 | -0.25 | 72.8 | 70.9 | -1.90 | 0.563 | 0.591 | 0.028 |
| Brett Favre | 62.0 | 61.9 | -0.16 | 7.05 | 7.08 | 0.03 | 87.0 | 85.2 | -1.80 | 0.576 | 0.659 | 0.083 |
| Rich Gannon | 61.2 | 59.5 | -1.64 | 6.96 | 6.74 | -0.21 | 85.7 | 84.0 | -1.70 | 0.569 | 0.563 | -0.006 |
| Joey Harrington | 56.8 | 55.6 | -1.17 | 6.01 | 5.61 | -0.40 | 69.9 | 69.0 | -0.90 | 0.297 | 0.356 | 0.058 |
| Ken O'Brien | 59.4 | 58.0 | -1.39 | 7.15 | 6.84 | -0.31 | 80.8 | 80.2 | -0.60 | 0.441 | 0.453 | 0.012 |
| Steve Young | 64.9 | 63.8 | -1.14 | 8.04 | 7.94 | -0.11 | 97.1 | 96.5 | -0.60 | 0.696 | 0.677 | -0.019 |
| John Elway | 56.5 | 57.1 | 0.60 | 7.04 | 7.15 | 0.11 | 80.1 | 79.7 | -0.40 | 0.681 | 0.605 | -0.076 |
| Troy Aikman | 60.6 | 62.2 | 1.58 | 7.14 | 6.87 | -0.27 | 81.8 | 81.5 | -0.30 | 0.622 | 0.527 | -0.094 |
| Jim Kelly | 60.8 | 59.6 | -1.23 | 7.61 | 7.27 | -0.34 | 84.5 | 84.3 | -0.20 | 0.686 | 0.589 | -0.097 |
| Jim Everett | 57.5 | 57.9 | 0.45 | 6.98 | 7.15 | 0.17 | 78.7 | 78.5 | -0.20 | 0.366 | 0.437 | 0.071 |
| Jeff George | 60.5 | 56.2 | -4.27 | 7.02 | 6.92 | -0.10 | 79.7 | 80.9 | 1.20 | 0.404 | 0.333 | -0.071 |
| Daunte Culpepper | 63.7 | 62.4 | -1.30 | 7.53 | 7.57 | 0.05 | 87.2 | 88.4 | 1.20 | 0.509 | 0.308 | -0.202 |
| Steve McNair | 60.8 | 59.7 | -1.07 | 6.81 | 6.95 | 0.14 | 82.0 | 83.3 | 1.30 | 0.559 | 0.606 | 0.048 |
| Joe Theismann | 58.2 | 57.3 | -0.93 | 7.11 | 7.05 | -0.06 | 78.4 | 80.5 | 2.10 | 0.589 | 0.638 | 0.049 |
| Warren Moon | 58.9 | 58.1 | -0.82 | 7.14 | 7.30 | 0.16 | 79.7 | 81.9 | 2.20 | 0.521 | 0.491 | -0.030 |
| Boomer Esiason | 57.4 | 56.8 | -0.52 | 7.35 | 7.24 | -0.11 | 79.6 | 82.1 | 2.50 | 0.430 | 0.481 | 0.051 |
| Neil Lomax | 56.7 | 58.3 | 1.63 | 7.28 | 7.17 | -0.11 | 81.3 | 83.8 | 2.50 | 0.388 | 0.508 | 0.121 |
| Jeff Blake | 56.9 | 56.0 | -0.94 | 6.45 | 6.86 | 0.41 | 76.5 | 79.1 | 2.60 | 0.250 | 0.423 | 0.173 |
| Erik Kramer | 56.9 | 57.7 | 0.80 | 6.57 | 6.78 | 0.21 | 75.3 | 78.1 | 2.80 | 0.395 | 0.513 | 0.117 |
| Bernie Kosar | 60.0 | 58.7 | -1.24 | 6.61 | 7.14 | 0.54 | 80.2 | 83.0 | 2.80 | 0.481 | 0.521 | 0.040 |
| Rick Mirer | 55.4 | 51.0 | -4.40 | 5.98 | 5.73 | -0.25 | 61.8 | 65.4 | 3.60 | 0.297 | 0.381 | 0.084 |
| Trent Dilfer | 56.2 | 54.8 | -1.43 | 6.37 | 6.56 | 0.19 | 68.3 | 71.9 | 3.60 | 0.424 | 0.559 | 0.135 |
| Dave Krieg | 58.3 | 58.5 | 0.21 | 7.10 | 7.23 | 0.12 | 79.1 | 82.8 | 3.70 | 0.521 | 0.556 | 0.035 |
| Gus Frerotte | 54.1 | 55.2 | 1.03 | 6.86 | 6.85 | 0.00 | 72.1 | 76.0 | 3.90 | 0.500 | 0.508 | 0.008 |
| Steve Beuerlein | 56.6 | 57.2 | 0.60 | 7.12 | 7.30 | 0.18 | 77.9 | 82.0 | 4.10 | 0.392 | 0.553 | 0.160 |
| Steve DeBerg | 57.3 | 57.1 | -0.27 | 6.78 | 6.84 | 0.06 | 71.9 | 76.5 | 4.60 | 0.360 | 0.423 | 0.063 |
| Jim Zorn | 56.0 | 54.3 | -1.73 | 6.69 | 7.04 | 0.36 | 69.6 | 74.2 | 4.60 | 0.435 | 0.511 | 0.076 |
| Trent Green | 60.0 | 61.0 | 0.93 | 7.51 | 7.69 | 0.18 | 83.2 | 88.0 | 4.80 | 0.380 | 0.571 | 0.191 |
| Ken Stabler | 58.1 | 61.5 | 3.48 | 6.78 | 7.13 | 0.35 | 66.8 | 71.6 | 4.80 | 0.545 | 0.500 | -0.045 |
| Doug Williams | 47.1 | 51.5 | 4.39 | 6.38 | 7.12 | 0.75 | 66.4 | 72.0 | 5.60 | 0.526 | 0.510 | -0.015 |
| Kordell Stewart | 56.3 | 55.4 | -0.84 | 5.85 | 6.56 | 0.70 | 67.3 | 73.2 | 5.90 | 0.600 | 0.577 | -0.023 |
| Jake Plummer | 56.9 | 57.3 | 0.44 | 6.28 | 7.07 | 0.79 | 70.8 | 77.5 | 6.70 | 0.525 | 0.488 | -0.037 |
| Brian Sipe | 55.6 | 57.7 | 2.08 | 6.84 | 7.30 | 0.45 | 73.8 | 80.6 | 6.80 | 0.512 | 0.500 | -0.012 |
| Stan Humphries | 56.0 | 57.7 | 1.72 | 6.67 | 6.99 | 0.32 | 71.8 | 79.7 | 7.90 | 0.535 | 0.644 | 0.110 |
| Ken Anderson | 61.6 | 61.6 | -0.03 | 7.15 | 7.63 | 0.49 | 77.8 | 85.9 | 8.10 | 0.357 | 0.528 | 0.171 |
| Tony Banks | 52.4 | 55.6 | 3.22 | 5.96 | 6.91 | 0.94 | 66.2 | 77.0 | 10.80 | 0.342 | 0.500 | 0.158 |
Passer Rating
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-20.80)
Best Increase: Tony Banks (+10.80)
Most Consistent: Jim Kelly (-0.20)
Completion Percentage
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-6.87%)
Best Increase: Doug Williams (4.39%)
Most Consistent: Ken Anderson (-0.03%)
Yards per Attempt
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-0.89)
Best Increase: Tony Banks (+0.94)
Most Consistent: Gus Frerotte (0.00)
Win %
Worst Decline: Daunte Culpepper (-.202)
Best Increase: Trent Green (+.191)
Most Consistent: Kurt Warner (-0.001)
Comparing the Two Lists
The following is a key comparison between the averages of the two lists. Not included above were touchdown pass percentage (TD%) and interception percentage (INT%). They are included here.| Averages | Active | 1978-2010 |
| F7 Comp. % | 60.8 | 58.4 |
| L9 Comp. % | 59.8 | 57.4 |
| F7 YPA | 7.13 | 7.05 |
| L9 YPA | 6.95 | 6.96 |
| F7 PR | 85.2 | 79.5 |
| L9 PR | 82.7 | 78.2 |
| F7 INT% | 2.89 | 3.50 |
| L9 INT% | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| F7 TD% | 4.43 | 4.18 |
| L9 TD% | 4.17 | 4.15 |
| Comp. % DIFF | -0.98 | -0.99 |
| YPA DIFF | -0.18 | -0.08 |
| PR DIFF | -2.47 | -1.31 |
| INT% DIFF | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| TD% DIFF | -0.26 | -0.03 |
Interception numbers were surprisingly consistent among both groups and each split. The active TD% is down, which can explain the larger decrease in passer rating. Amazingly, both groups saw about a 1% drop in completion percentage in the last 9 games. YPA was only about a tenth lower for the actives.
Conclusion
Generally speaking, numbers do decline on average in the last 9 games of the season. However, interceptions and touchdowns are fairly constant, and the declines in key efficiency stats such as YPA, completion percentage and passer rating are not by a significant number. The 1% difference in completion percentage can be fixed by just 2-3 more completions (total). That's it.There are some very interesting names to come out of the lists of best and worst declines. While it’s good to see old quarterbacks remain very consistent at passer rating, such as Elway, Young, Kelly and Aikman, you also see Joey Harrington and Jeff George right in the mix.
What would a fan want out of their quarterback? Is it better to improve as the season goes along, or would you rather have the player that is fairly consistent all year round?
As for Eli, make note that Phil Simms kept his numbers consistent. Kerry Collins, when he was with the Giants (1999-2003), saw his numbers improve in the last 9 games of the season. Mark Sanchez plays in the same stadium and he sees a slight increase as well in the last 9 games. There’s not any noticeable New York effect.
The only quarterbacks to see the kind of statistical declines like Eli are Joe Ferguson and Ryan Fitzpatrick. They both played for Buffalo. However, Jim Kelly was a very consistent quarterback for the Bills. Fitzpatrick is an odd case, who may very well rewrite his history with his new semi-franchise quarterback contract.
Earlier this week Eli’s second-half declines seemed interesting. Now after further review, they look historically bad. With such a difficult schedule coming up, one wouldn’t necessarily fault Eli for some regression this season. But at some point, if you want to be a great player, you need to back it up beyond the month of October. Manning has a Super Bowl ring, but that’s also the only season where he has won a playoff game. To be in the elite class, consistently elite performance is required.
To this point everything we’ve shown you has been career cumulative stats. We’ll leave you with a look at Eli’s individual seasons compared to the usual top quarterbacks in the game today. This time red indicates the last 9 games of that season. Non-starter seasons excluded.
Eli Manning
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 2005 | 5-2 | 115 | 225 | 51.11 | 1560 | 6.93 | 13 | 5 | 83.6 |
| 2005 | 6-3 | 179 | 332 | 53.92 | 2202 | 6.63 | 11 | 12 | 70.6 |
| 2006 | 5-2 | 143 | 233 | 61.37 | 1672 | 7.18 | 14 | 8 | 88.9 |
| 2006 | 3-6 | 158 | 289 | 54.67 | 1572 | 5.44 | 10 | 10 | 67.4 |
| 2007 | 5-2 | 137 | 227 | 60.35 | 1525 | 6.72 | 13 | 9 | 82.9 |
| 2007 | 5-4 | 160 | 302 | 52.98 | 1811 | 6.00 | 10 | 11 | 67.1 |
| 2008 | 6-1 | 137 | 223 | 61.43 | 1588 | 7.12 | 9 | 4 | 88.9 |
| 2008 | 6-3 | 152 | 256 | 59.38 | 1650 | 6.45 | 12 | 6 | 84.3 |
| 2009 | 5-2 | 120 | 203 | 59.11 | 1633 | 8.04 | 12 | 6 | 92.3 |
| 2009 | 3-6 | 197 | 306 | 64.38 | 2388 | 7.80 | 15 | 8 | 93.7 |
| 2010 | 5-2 | 157 | 239 | 65.69 | 1785 | 7.47 | 14 | 11 | 88.3 |
| 2010 | 5-4 | 182 | 300 | 60.67 | 2217 | 7.39 | 17 | 14 | 82.9 |
| 2011 | 5-2 | 156 | 241 | 64.73 | 2127 | 8.83 | 13 | 5 | 102.1 |
Philip Rivers
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 2006 | 5-2 | 139 | 210 | 66.19 | 1536 | 7.31 | 10 | 3 | 97.6 |
| 2006 | 9-0 | 145 | 250 | 58.00 | 1852 | 7.41 | 12 | 6 | 87.3 |
| 2007 | 4-3 | 123 | 189 | 65.08 | 1442 | 7.63 | 10 | 7 | 90.3 |
| 2007 | 7-2 | 154 | 271 | 56.83 | 1710 | 6.31 | 11 | 8 | 77.0 |
| 2008 | 3-4 | 124 | 194 | 63.92 | 1697 | 8.75 | 16 | 5 | 108.5 |
| 2008 | 5-4 | 188 | 284 | 66.20 | 2312 | 8.14 | 18 | 6 | 103.5 |
| 2009 | 4-3 | 142 | 238 | 59.66 | 2036 | 8.55 | 11 | 4 | 95.9 |
| 2009 | 9-0 | 175 | 248 | 70.56 | 2218 | 8.94 | 17 | 5 | 112.6 |
| 2010 | 2-5 | 171 | 270 | 63.33 | 2344 | 8.68 | 13 | 6 | 97.8 |
| 2010 | 7-2 | 186 | 271 | 68.63 | 2366 | 8.73 | 17 | 7 | 105.8 |
| 2011 | 4-3 | 167 | 259 | 64.48 | 2084 | 8.05 | 7 | 11 | 80.7 |
Peyton Manning
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 1998 | 1-6 | 131 | 240 | 54.58 | 1595 | 6.65 | 9 | 14 | 63.5 |
| 1998 | 2-7 | 195 | 335 | 58.21 | 2144 | 6.40 | 17 | 14 | 76.8 |
| 1999 | 5-2 | 145 | 243 | 59.67 | 1992 | 8.20 | 14 | 8 | 91.5 |
| 1999 | 8-1 | 186 | 290 | 64.14 | 2143 | 7.39 | 12 | 7 | 90.1 |
| 2000 | 5-2 | 161 | 247 | 65.18 | 2150 | 8.70 | 15 | 7 | 101.1 |
| 2000 | 5-4 | 196 | 324 | 60.49 | 2263 | 6.98 | 18 | 8 | 89.8 |
| 2001 | 4-3 | 149 | 227 | 65.64 | 1824 | 8.04 | 13 | 9 | 92.8 |
| 2001 | 2-7 | 194 | 320 | 60.63 | 2307 | 7.21 | 13 | 14 | 78.0 |
| 2002 | 4-3 | 170 | 258 | 65.89 | 1798 | 6.97 | 12 | 10 | 85.4 |
| 2002 | 6-3 | 222 | 333 | 66.67 | 2402 | 7.21 | 15 | 9 | 91.4 |
| 2003 | 6-1 | 161 | 233 | 69.10 | 1862 | 7.99 | 15 | 5 | 105.5 |
| 2003 | 6-3 | 218 | 333 | 65.47 | 2405 | 7.22 | 14 | 5 | 94.5 |
| 2004 | 4-3 | 156 | 240 | 65.00 | 2161 | 9.00 | 22 | 4 | 117.4 |
| 2004 | 8-1 | 180 | 257 | 70.04 | 2396 | 9.32 | 27 | 6 | 124.6 |
| 2005 | 7-0 | 139 | 204 | 68.14 | 1551 | 7.60 | 11 | 5 | 98.3 |
| 2005 | 7-2 | 166 | 249 | 66.67 | 2196 | 8.82 | 17 | 5 | 108.8 |
| 2006 | 7-0 | 163 | 245 | 66.53 | 1965 | 8.02 | 15 | 2 | 108.0 |
| 2006 | 5-4 | 199 | 312 | 63.78 | 2432 | 7.79 | 16 | 7 | 95.5 |
| 2007 | 7-0 | 152 | 232 | 65.52 | 1833 | 7.90 | 13 | 3 | 102.9 |
| 2007 | 6-3 | 185 | 283 | 65.37 | 2207 | 7.80 | 18 | 11 | 94.1 |
| 2008 | 3-4 | 162 | 265 | 61.13 | 1754 | 6.62 | 10 | 9 | 79.0 |
| 2008 | 9-0 | 209 | 290 | 72.07 | 2248 | 7.75 | 17 | 3 | 109.7 |
| 2009 | 7-0 | 187 | 263 | 71.10 | 2227 | 8.47 | 15 | 4 | 109.3 |
| 2009 | 7-2 | 206 | 308 | 66.88 | 2273 | 7.38 | 18 | 12 | 91.8 |
| 2010 | 5-2 | 197 | 299 | 65.89 | 2184 | 7.30 | 15 | 2 | 101.4 |
| 2010 | 5-4 | 253 | 380 | 66.58 | 2516 | 6.62 | 18 | 15 | 84.5 |
Aaron Rodgers
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 2008 | 4-3 | 145 | 221 | 65.61 | 1668 | 7.55 | 12 | 4 | 98.8 |
| 2008 | 2-7 | 196 | 315 | 62.22 | 2370 | 7.52 | 16 | 9 | 90.3 |
| 2009 | 4-3 | 147 | 225 | 65.33 | 1989 | 8.84 | 14 | 2 | 110.4 |
| 2009 | 7-2 | 203 | 316 | 64.24 | 2445 | 7.74 | 16 | 5 | 98.1 |
| 2010 | 4-3 | 150 | 235 | 63.83 | 1841 | 7.83 | 12 | 9 | 89.0 |
| 2010 | 6-2 | 162 | 240 | 67.50 | 2081 | 8.67 | 16 | 2 | 113.2 |
| 2011 | 7-0 | 171 | 239 | 71.55 | 2372 | 9.92 | 20 | 3 | 125.7 |
Tom Brady
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 2001 | 3-3 | 104 | 169 | 61.54 | 1069 | 6.33 | 7 | 4 | 83.7 |
| 2001 | 8-1 | 160 | 244 | 65.57 | 1774 | 7.27 | 11 | 8 | 88.4 |
| 2002 | 3-4 | 185 | 289 | 64.01 | 1879 | 6.50 | 15 | 9 | 86.8 |
| 2002 | 6-3 | 188 | 312 | 60.26 | 1885 | 6.04 | 13 | 5 | 84.7 |
| 2003 | 5-2 | 133 | 221 | 60.18 | 1462 | 6.62 | 8 | 7 | 78.7 |
| 2003 | 9-0 | 184 | 306 | 60.13 | 2158 | 7.05 | 15 | 5 | 91.1 |
| 2004 | 6-1 | 129 | 215 | 60.00 | 1660 | 7.72 | 13 | 7 | 90.8 |
| 2004 | 8-1 | 159 | 259 | 61.39 | 2032 | 7.85 | 15 | 7 | 94.0 |
| 2005 | 4-3 | 157 | 249 | 63.05 | 2020 | 8.11 | 9 | 4 | 93.8 |
| 2005 | 6-3 | 177 | 281 | 62.99 | 2090 | 7.44 | 17 | 10 | 90.9 |
| 2006 | 6-1 | 135 | 232 | 58.19 | 1598 | 6.89 | 14 | 4 | 92.2 |
| 2006 | 6-3 | 184 | 284 | 64.79 | 1931 | 6.80 | 10 | 8 | 84.4 |
| 2007 | 7-0 | 169 | 229 | 73.80 | 2125 | 9.28 | 27 | 2 | 137.9 |
| 2007 | 9-0 | 229 | 349 | 65.62 | 2681 | 7.68 | 23 | 6 | 103.6 |
| 2009 | 5-2 | 179 | 273 | 65.57 | 2032 | 7.44 | 15 | 4 | 99.9 |
| 2009 | 5-4 | 192 | 292 | 65.75 | 2366 | 8.10 | 13 | 9 | 92.6 |
| 2010 | 6-1 | 147 | 225 | 65.33 | 1602 | 7.12 | 12 | 4 | 96.6 |
| 2010 | 8-1 | 177 | 267 | 66.29 | 2298 | 8.61 | 24 | 0 | 123.2 |
| 2011 | 5-2 | 184 | 272 | 67.65 | 2361 | 8.68 | 18 | 8 | 104.4 |
Ben Roethlisberger
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 2004 | 5-1 | 96 | 137 | 70.07 | 1133 | 8.27 | 9 | 4 | 104.7 |
| 2004 | 8-0 | 100 | 158 | 63.29 | 1488 | 9.42 | 8 | 7 | 92.5 |
| 2005 | 5-1 | 79 | 130 | 60.77 | 1183 | 9.10 | 11 | 2 | 112.4 |
| 2005 | 4-2 | 89 | 138 | 64.49 | 1202 | 8.71 | 6 | 7 | 85.5 |
| 2006 | 1-5 | 112 | 180 | 62.22 | 1346 | 7.48 | 6 | 11 | 70.7 |
| 2006 | 6-3 | 168 | 289 | 58.13 | 2167 | 7.50 | 12 | 12 | 78.3 |
| 2007 | 5-2 | 124 | 192 | 64.58 | 1533 | 7.98 | 15 | 6 | 102.2 |
| 2007 | 5-3 | 140 | 212 | 66.04 | 1621 | 7.65 | 17 | 5 | 105.9 |
| 2008 | 5-2 | 109 | 181 | 60.22 | 1352 | 7.47 | 10 | 7 | 85.7 |
| 2008 | 7-2 | 172 | 288 | 59.72 | 1949 | 6.77 | 7 | 8 | 76.6 |
| 2009 | 5-2 | 164 | 233 | 70.39 | 2062 | 8.85 | 11 | 6 | 102.6 |
| 2009 | 4-4 | 173 | 273 | 63.37 | 2266 | 8.30 | 15 | 6 | 98.6 |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 52 | 82 | 63.41 | 754 | 9.20 | 5 | 2 | 103.4 |
| 2010 | 7-2 | 188 | 307 | 61.24 | 2446 | 7.97 | 12 | 3 | 95.3 |
| 2011 | 5-2 | 147 | 234 | 62.82 | 1937 | 8.28 | 12 | 6 | 95.3 |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 36 | 50 | 72.00 | 365 | 7.30 | 2 | 1 | 97.5 |
Drew Brees
| Year | Record | Comp. | Attempts | Pct. | Yards | YPA | TD | INT | Rating |
| 2002 | 6-1 | 127 | 204 | 62.25 | 1332 | 6.53 | 9 | 6 | 83.6 |
| 2002 | 2-7 | 193 | 322 | 59.94 | 1952 | 6.06 | 8 | 10 | 72.6 |
| 2003 | 1-6 | 139 | 239 | 58.16 | 1401 | 5.86 | 7 | 11 | 65.6 |
| 2003 | 1-3 | 66 | 117 | 56.41 | 707 | 6.04 | 4 | 4 | 71.4 |
| 2004 | 4-3 | 116 | 181 | 64.09 | 1316 | 7.27 | 9 | 3 | 95.5 |
| 2004 | 7-1 | 146 | 219 | 66.67 | 1843 | 8.42 | 18 | 4 | 112.5 |
| 2005 | 3-4 | 128 | 199 | 64.32 | 1505 | 7.56 | 10 | 6 | 91.4 |
| 2005 | 6-3 | 195 | 301 | 64.78 | 2071 | 6.88 | 14 | 9 | 87.8 |
| 2006 | 5-2 | 162 | 252 | 64.29 | 1892 | 7.51 | 11 | 7 | 89.9 |
| 2006 | 5-4 | 194 | 302 | 64.24 | 2526 | 8.36 | 15 | 4 | 101.5 |
| 2007 | 3-4 | 190 | 286 | 66.43 | 1730 | 6.05 | 9 | 10 | 78.6 |
| 2007 | 4-5 | 250 | 366 | 68.31 | 2693 | 7.36 | 19 | 8 | 97.9 |
| 2008 | 3-4 | 180 | 263 | 68.44 | 2224 | 8.46 | 12 | 7 | 98.5 |
| 2008 | 5-4 | 233 | 372 | 62.63 | 2845 | 7.65 | 22 | 10 | 94.7 |
| 2009 | 7-0 | 157 | 230 | 68.26 | 2006 | 8.72 | 16 | 6 | 107.6 |
| 2009 | 6-2 | 206 | 284 | 72.54 | 2382 | 8.39 | 18 | 5 | 111.3 |
| 2010 | 4-3 | 200 | 287 | 69.69 | 2029 | 7.07 | 14 | 10 | 91.4 |
| 2010 | 7-2 | 248 | 371 | 66.85 | 2591 | 6.98 | 19 | 12 | 90.5 |
| 2011 | 5-2 | 212 | 299 | 70.90 | 2477 | 8.28 | 18 | 8 | 104.6 |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 30 | 44 | 68.18 | 269 | 6.11 | 1 | 2 | 73.0 |
Read more: Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Buffalo Bills, Drew Brees, Eli Manning, Joe Ferguson, Joe Flacco, Kerry Collins, New York Giants, NFL, Passer Rating, Peyton Manning, Philip Rivers, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Statistics, Tom Brady, Yards Per Attempt
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