CHFF Super Study: Which QBs Decline After Seven Games?

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Nov 03, 2011



By Scott Kacsmar
Cold, Hard Football Facts Superman


As the calendar turns to November, the NFL season goes through its own set of changes. Teams have more tape to study as they try to figure out tendencies, and the weather becomes a bigger factor. While the running game is considered to remain static, it’s the passing game that figures to take the hardest hit as defenses learn more as the air cools and winds strengthen.
 
Does the quarterback that looked so flawless in September and October under good conditions suddenly start seeing his completion percentage and yards per attempt dip as he attempts to handle these changes? Does the battle of attrition with injuries begin to take its toll on an offense’s production and efficiency? Does the dome quarterback really have that significant of an advantage over his outdoor peers?
 
There would be a lot more data required to answer all of these questions, but what we are going to look at is how quarterbacks have performed historically in the 16-game, Blount-rule passing era (that’s since 1978 in case you didn’t know) when they reached the point of the season we are entering now, relative to their early-season performance.
 
Consistency by itself does not equal greatness. Kyle Boller is great at always being bad. Only being consistently great equals greatness. Which players are able to maintain the same level of play all throughout out the season? Who actually gets better? Who gets worse? This is more about comparing the quarterback to himself (and, as always, his teammates) than to other players.
 

The Motivation

Earlier this week we looked at Eli Manning’s great start to the 2011 season, and noted that we have seen strong starts by Mr. October before, only to see him struggle once the season shifted to November and beyond.
 
It was worth exploring whether or not this is exclusive to a quarterback like Manning, or if most quarterbacks see their passing stats decline for reasons stated earlier. Eli plays most of his games outdoors, and plays his home games in the sometimes windy (New) Meadowlands, so perhaps he’s just at a disadvantage.
 
If not, then Eli has simply not been a quarterback’s that maintained or improved his level of play in the second half of the season, which is exactly why he struggles to find his name in the conversation of elite quarterbacks.
 
Onto the number crunching.
 

The Methodology

 
We used the Play Index at pro-football-reference.com to look at each quarterback’s seasons in two splits: his team’s first 7 games, and then his team’s last 9 games.
 
Why not use a perfect 8/8 split? It’s the 7th game that often concludes the month of October, and that’s exactly where we are in the season. Every team has completed at least 7 games in 2011.
 
Deciding which quarterbacks to use was difficult, as someone like Matthew Stafford just completed his only real early season split in three years, and he missed practically the entire second half of 2010. There’s also the problem of rookies that start late in the season (that’s what Eli Manning did in 2004) and may have bad numbers that season, with no bad early-season numbers to balance it out.
 
On the reverse side, someone like Ryan Fitzpatrick has rarely ever played a lot of games at the start of the season. He has this year, and is having the best stretch of his career, which slants the numbers because the early-to-late ratio of games is too low.
 
In a perfect world, many quarterbacks would start all 16 games in multiple seasons, keeping the exact 7:9 ratio to examine, but only Peyton Manning has done that.
 
Games played include all game appearances (not just games started). Keep that in mind when looking at the team record. Games started would definitely have to be factored in for the true record, as players such as Matt Cassel can come in late for an easy New England win and get credited for Tom Brady’s win. Since this is more about passing performance rather than team record, take such records for quarterbacks that had a lot of non-starter appearances with a grain of salt.
 
All stats used are from the regular season only.
 
Quick Math Reminder: With a stat like passer rating, the higher your rating the harder it is to maintain. Even if two quarterbacks had the same number of attempts, but one had a rating of 105.0 and the other had a rating of 70.0, an interception on each passer’s next attempt would decrease the 105.0 rating by a larger number than the 70.0 rating. It may not be a huge difference, but these things can add up in a hurry. A five-point drop from 70.0 compared to 105.0 does not require the same amount of bad plays.
 

Eli vs. the Active Quarterbacks

There were 33 active quarterbacks used, which includes starters from all tiers, and some backups. Eighteen of the quarterbacks are active starters as of right now. That’s actually a good representation of today’s quarterbacks when you consider the starters that are rookies/second-year players (Newton, Dalton, Ponder, Gabbert, Tebow, McCoy, Bradford) or limited experience veterans (Kolb, Jackson, Moore, Painter, Beck).
 
Some players stretch the idea of what active means (Delhomme, Pennington, Garrard), but they’re still included.
 
Consideration was taken to not include 2011 in the stats since we’re just really getting into the last 9 games, but since every quarterback is in at least his third season, we kept it in.
 
You can look at a full table of active passers for the first 7 (F7) games here, and for the last 9 (L9) games here.
 
Active Comp. % YPA Passer Rating Win%
Quarterbacks F7 L9 Diff F7 L9 Diff F7 L9 Diff F7 L9 Diff
Ryan Fitzpatrick 61.8 57.8 -3.97 6.58 6.12 -0.46 87.0 70.6 -16.40 0.444 0.450 0.006
Eli Manning 60.5 56.8 -3.73 7.47 6.50 -0.98 89.5 75.4 -14.10 0.720 0.475 -0.245
David Carr 60.8 58.7 -2.07 7.02 5.80 -1.23 81.9 68.6 -13.30 0.404 0.283 -0.122
Kyle Orton 60.3 55.8 -4.50 6.83 6.20 -0.63 85.5 72.8 -12.70 0.515 0.471 -0.045
Aaron Rodgers 66.7 64.0 -2.63 8.53 7.79 -0.75 106.0 97.9 -8.10 0.667 0.548 -0.118
Charlie Batch 57.1 55.1 -2.03 6.98 6.78 -0.20 81.0 74.2 -6.80 0.556 0.432 -0.123
Alex Smith 58.3 57.1 -1.14 6.37 6.21 -0.16 77.9 71.4 -6.50 0.344 0.483 0.139
BenRoethlisberger 64.5 62.2 -2.34 8.25 7.87 -0.38 96.1 90.1 -6.00 0.673 0.724 0.051
Matt Schaub 64.3 64.3 -0.06 7.92 7.76 -0.16 94.7 89.1 -5.60 0.571 0.360 -0.211
Mark Sanchez 53.9 55.8 1.85 6.53 6.71 0.18 75.3 69.7 -5.60 0.619 0.563 -0.057
Michael Vick 58.1 54.6 -3.50 7.33 6.82 -0.50 84.1 79.1 -5.00 0.609 0.534 -0.075
Rex Grossman 56.8 52.5 -4.38 6.97 6.08 -0.89 72.4 68.8 -3.60 0.667 0.519 -0.148
Jon Kitna 61.5 59.6 -1.96 6.78 6.65 -0.13 79.5 76.2 -3.30 0.407 0.388 -0.019
Byron Leftwich 59.1 57.2 -1.86 6.74 6.42 -0.32 80.9 77.8 -3.10 0.429 0.583 0.155
Peyton Manning 64.9 65.0 0.14 7.79 7.46 -0.33 96.6 93.5 -3.10 0.714 0.650 -0.065
Jason Campbell 61.8 60.1 -1.73 6.95 6.64 -0.31 84.3 81.6 -2.70 0.563 0.359 -0.204
Jay Cutler 62.9 60.0 -2.88 7.49 7.03 -0.45 85.5 83.3 -2.20 0.529 0.488 -0.042
Tom Brady 64.1 63.6 -0.54 7.50 7.40 -0.10 96.8 94.7 -2.10 0.729 0.793 0.064
Donovan McNabb 59.0 58.9 -0.10 6.94 6.93 -0.01 86.5 84.6 -1.90 0.571 0.611 0.040
Chad Pennington 66.8 65.4 -1.44 7.45 7.02 -0.43 91.0 89.5 -1.50 0.381 0.596 0.215
Derek Anderson 51.5 53.8 2.32 6.42 6.32 -0.10 69.4 68.3 -1.10 0.407 0.375 -0.032
Tony Romo 63.7 64.2 0.52 8.08 7.94 -0.14 95.2 94.5 -0.70 0.574 0.628 0.053
David Garrard 63.9 60.5 -3.45 6.89 7.08 0.18 86.0 85.7 -0.30 0.531 0.500 -0.031
Mark Brunell 59.3 59.7 0.41 6.72 7.11 0.39 83.5 84.5 1.00 0.444 0.610 0.165
Philip Rivers 63.7 63.9 0.21 8.19 7.83 -0.36 94.7 96.5 1.80 0.512 0.816 0.305
Drew Brees 66.0 65.2 -0.85 7.34 7.38 0.04 90.8 93.7 2.90 0.586 0.566 -0.020
Kerry Collins 56.0 55.4 -0.62 6.46 6.59 0.14 71.8 75.3 3.50 0.438 0.459 0.021
Carson Palmer 61.6 64.0 2.40 6.88 7.21 0.33 84.3 88.4 4.10 0.426 0.510 0.084
Matt Cassel 60.5 58.4 -2.09 6.39 6.92 0.53 80.3 85.3 5.00 0.606 0.600 -0.006
Jake Delhomme 58.7 59.9 1.16 6.93 7.36 0.43 78.5 83.7 5.20 0.553 0.630 0.076
Matt Hasselbeck 58.4 61.8 3.35 6.72 7.10 0.38 79.7 85.0 5.30 0.543 0.531 -0.012
Matt Ryan 60.0 61.9 1.86 6.89 6.86 -0.03 83.0 89.3 6.30 0.607 0.800 0.193
Joe Flacco 60.2 61.4 1.26 6.89 7.43 0.54 82.0 91.0 9.00 0.643 0.704 0.061
 
 
Eli Manning does in fact suffer the second largest decline in passer rating (-14.10) in the last 9 games of the season. Depending on what Eli and Ryan Fitzpatrick (-16.40) do the rest of this season, Eli could end up with the largest decline. Joe Flacco (+9.00) actually has the best increase in the last 9 games. David Garrard (-0.30) is the most consistent, as defined by the closest difference to 0 in the splits.
 
Eli’s completion percentage is the fourth biggest decline (-3.73%). Kyle Orton has the worst decline (-4.50%), while Matt Hasselbeck has the best increase (3.35%). Matt Schaub (-.06%) is the most consistent.
 
For yards per attempt (YPA), Eli has the second worst decline (-0.98); almost a full yard. Only David Carr (-1.23), Eli’s backup, is worse. Part of how Joe Flacco increases his passer rating is because of his +0.54 boost in YPA. Believe it or not, Donovan McNabb is the most consistent YPA performer (-0.01).
 
Don’t let a San Diego fan miss these kind words: Eli also has the biggest decline in win % (-.245). Eli has started the first 7 games with a 36-14 (.720) record, which is second to only Tom Brady (.729). But he’s finished just 29-32 (.475) in the last 9 games.
 
Who has the best increase in win %? Philip Rivers. He goes from 22-21 in the first 7 games of the season, to a ridiculous 40-9 in the final 9 games. Fitzpatrick (+0.006) is the most consistent winner (or loser, given his record).
 
Among active quarterbacks, there’s no denying Eli’s second half slumps are a real problem. Why they happen is for another debate, but the Cold, Hard Football Facts show that he is not living up to expectations and will need to correct this.
 

Inactive 1978-2010 Quarterbacks

How about looking at a group of quarterbacks that have more complete career data? We looked at 67 quarterbacks (giving this study 100 total, which was not intentional) from 1978-2010 that threw at least 1,000 passes throughout their career in the first 7 games of the season. Only regular seasons from 1978 to 2010 were included.
 
1978-2010 Comp. % YPA Passer Rating Win%
Quarterbacks F7 L9 Diff F7 L9 Diff F7 L9 Diff F7 L9 Diff
Joe Ferguson 57.5 50.6 -6.87 7.06 6.17 -0.89 80.8 60.0 -20.80 0.472 0.371 -0.100
Ron Jaworski 56.9 51.1 -5.83 7.12 6.76 -0.37 80.7 69.9 -10.80 0.576 0.454 -0.122
Brian Griese 62.9 62.4 -0.55 7.15 6.72 -0.43 87.4 77.1 -10.30 0.660 0.465 -0.195
Vinny Testaverde 57.6 55.6 -1.94 7.12 6.71 -0.41 80.4 70.3 -10.10 0.473 0.378 -0.095
Chris Miller 56.6 52.8 -3.74 7.05 6.34 -0.71 79.9 70.3 -9.60 0.391 0.346 -0.045
Jeff Hostetler 60.5 56.2 -4.27 7.30 6.82 -0.48 85.2 76.9 -8.30 0.612 0.640 0.028
Rodney Peete 58.7 55.4 -3.34 7.25 6.58 -0.67 76.8 68.6 -8.20 0.556 0.500 -0.056
Bobby Hebert 60.8 57.7 -3.12 7.28 6.73 -0.55 82.8 74.8 -8.00 0.563 0.537 -0.025
Richard Todd 56.7 54.5 -2.20 7.32 6.76 -0.56 74.4 66.6 -7.80 0.446 0.489 0.044
Drew Bledsoe 57.2 57.1 -0.07 6.89 6.42 -0.46 81.2 73.4 -7.80 0.483 0.524 0.041
Danny White 62.5 57.1 -5.44 7.53 7.35 -0.18 85.5 78.5 -7.00 0.731 0.600 -0.131
Tommy Kramer 56.2 54.1 -2.10 7.03 6.50 -0.52 76.0 69.1 -6.90 0.569 0.418 -0.151
Steve Grogan 53.9 51.9 -1.97 8.02 7.37 -0.66 75.4 68.8 -6.60 0.600 0.472 -0.128
Brad Johnson 62.2 61.2 -0.94 6.96 6.51 -0.45 85.9 79.7 -6.20 0.618 0.580 -0.039
Steve Bartkowski 57.7 57.5 -0.26 7.22 7.02 -0.21 82.7 77.0 -5.70 0.466 0.511 0.045
Aaron Brooks 56.7 56.3 -0.33 6.78 6.87 0.09 81.7 76.4 -5.30 0.500 0.382 -0.118
Jim Harbaugh 60.1 57.8 -2.21 6.95 6.52 -0.43 80.4 75.3 -5.10 0.474 0.444 -0.029
Joe Montana 64.1 62.5 -1.65 7.74 7.34 -0.39 95.0 90.0 -5.00 0.679 0.717 0.038
Neil O'Donnell 59.4 56.1 -3.32 6.98 6.45 -0.53 84.2 79.3 -4.90 0.508 0.613 0.104
Elvis Grbac 57.8 60.3 2.48 6.83 6.88 0.05 82.3 77.5 -4.80 0.667 0.571 -0.095
Dan Fouts 62.0 58.4 -3.57 7.98 7.72 -0.26 86.2 82.0 -4.20 0.538 0.591 0.052
Marc Bulger 61.7 62.5 0.79 7.29 7.11 -0.19 86.3 82.8 -3.50 0.422 0.431 0.009
Scott Mitchell 55.0 55.9 0.88 6.57 6.81 0.23 76.9 73.6 -3.30 0.500 0.450 -0.050
Jim McMahon 59.7 55.9 -3.80 7.28 6.78 -0.49 79.4 76.7 -2.70 0.635 0.759 0.124
Phil Simms 55.8 55.1 -0.64 7.29 7.12 -0.16 79.9 77.2 -2.70 0.579 0.591 0.012
Chris Chandler 57.4 58.7 1.36 7.13 7.10 -0.03 80.6 77.9 -2.70 0.333 0.455 0.121
Kurt Warner 67.2 64.0 -3.20 8.01 7.89 -0.11 95.0 92.5 -2.50 0.576 0.576 -0.001
Lynn Dickey 59.5 55.9 -3.63 7.97 7.72 -0.24 79.4 77.0 -2.40 0.405 0.500 0.095
Dan Marino 59.7 59.2 -0.45 7.47 7.25 -0.22 87.8 85.4 -2.40 0.673 0.558 -0.115
Jeff Garcia 62.6 60.8 -1.77 7.08 6.85 -0.23 88.8 86.6 -2.20 0.518 0.464 -0.054
RandallCunningham 57.8 55.5 -2.33 7.19 6.80 -0.40 82.6 80.4 -2.20 0.566 0.604 0.038
Jay Schroeder 50.3 51.1 0.79 7.30 7.04 -0.25 72.8 70.9 -1.90 0.563 0.591 0.028
Brett Favre 62.0 61.9 -0.16 7.05 7.08 0.03 87.0 85.2 -1.80 0.576 0.659 0.083
Rich Gannon 61.2 59.5 -1.64 6.96 6.74 -0.21 85.7 84.0 -1.70 0.569 0.563 -0.006
Joey Harrington 56.8 55.6 -1.17 6.01 5.61 -0.40 69.9 69.0 -0.90 0.297 0.356 0.058
Ken O'Brien 59.4 58.0 -1.39 7.15 6.84 -0.31 80.8 80.2 -0.60 0.441 0.453 0.012
Steve Young 64.9 63.8 -1.14 8.04 7.94 -0.11 97.1 96.5 -0.60 0.696 0.677 -0.019
John Elway 56.5 57.1 0.60 7.04 7.15 0.11 80.1 79.7 -0.40 0.681 0.605 -0.076
Troy Aikman 60.6 62.2 1.58 7.14 6.87 -0.27 81.8 81.5 -0.30 0.622 0.527 -0.094
Jim Kelly 60.8 59.6 -1.23 7.61 7.27 -0.34 84.5 84.3 -0.20 0.686 0.589 -0.097
Jim Everett 57.5 57.9 0.45 6.98 7.15 0.17 78.7 78.5 -0.20 0.366 0.437 0.071
Jeff George 60.5 56.2 -4.27 7.02 6.92 -0.10 79.7 80.9 1.20 0.404 0.333 -0.071
Daunte Culpepper 63.7 62.4 -1.30 7.53 7.57 0.05 87.2 88.4 1.20 0.509 0.308 -0.202
Steve McNair 60.8 59.7 -1.07 6.81 6.95 0.14 82.0 83.3 1.30 0.559 0.606 0.048
Joe Theismann 58.2 57.3 -0.93 7.11 7.05 -0.06 78.4 80.5 2.10 0.589 0.638 0.049
Warren Moon 58.9 58.1 -0.82 7.14 7.30 0.16 79.7 81.9 2.20 0.521 0.491 -0.030
Boomer Esiason 57.4 56.8 -0.52 7.35 7.24 -0.11 79.6 82.1 2.50 0.430 0.481 0.051
Neil Lomax 56.7 58.3 1.63 7.28 7.17 -0.11 81.3 83.8 2.50 0.388 0.508 0.121
Jeff Blake 56.9 56.0 -0.94 6.45 6.86 0.41 76.5 79.1 2.60 0.250 0.423 0.173
Erik Kramer 56.9 57.7 0.80 6.57 6.78 0.21 75.3 78.1 2.80 0.395 0.513 0.117
Bernie Kosar 60.0 58.7 -1.24 6.61 7.14 0.54 80.2 83.0 2.80 0.481 0.521 0.040
Rick Mirer 55.4 51.0 -4.40 5.98 5.73 -0.25 61.8 65.4 3.60 0.297 0.381 0.084
Trent Dilfer 56.2 54.8 -1.43 6.37 6.56 0.19 68.3 71.9 3.60 0.424 0.559 0.135
Dave Krieg 58.3 58.5 0.21 7.10 7.23 0.12 79.1 82.8 3.70 0.521 0.556 0.035
Gus Frerotte 54.1 55.2 1.03 6.86 6.85 0.00 72.1 76.0 3.90 0.500 0.508 0.008
Steve Beuerlein 56.6 57.2 0.60 7.12 7.30 0.18 77.9 82.0 4.10 0.392 0.553 0.160
Steve DeBerg 57.3 57.1 -0.27 6.78 6.84 0.06 71.9 76.5 4.60 0.360 0.423 0.063
Jim Zorn 56.0 54.3 -1.73 6.69 7.04 0.36 69.6 74.2 4.60 0.435 0.511 0.076
Trent Green 60.0 61.0 0.93 7.51 7.69 0.18 83.2 88.0 4.80 0.380 0.571 0.191
Ken Stabler 58.1 61.5 3.48 6.78 7.13 0.35 66.8 71.6 4.80 0.545 0.500 -0.045
Doug Williams 47.1 51.5 4.39 6.38 7.12 0.75 66.4 72.0 5.60 0.526 0.510 -0.015
Kordell Stewart 56.3 55.4 -0.84 5.85 6.56 0.70 67.3 73.2 5.90 0.600 0.577 -0.023
Jake Plummer 56.9 57.3 0.44 6.28 7.07 0.79 70.8 77.5 6.70 0.525 0.488 -0.037
Brian Sipe 55.6 57.7 2.08 6.84 7.30 0.45 73.8 80.6 6.80 0.512 0.500 -0.012
Stan Humphries 56.0 57.7 1.72 6.67 6.99 0.32 71.8 79.7 7.90 0.535 0.644 0.110
Ken Anderson 61.6 61.6 -0.03 7.15 7.63 0.49 77.8 85.9 8.10 0.357 0.528 0.171
Tony Banks 52.4 55.6 3.22 5.96 6.91 0.94 66.2 77.0 10.80 0.342 0.500 0.158
 
 
Passer Rating
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-20.80)
Best Increase: Tony Banks (+10.80)
Most Consistent: Jim Kelly (-0.20)
 
Completion Percentage
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-6.87%)
Best Increase: Doug Williams (4.39%)
Most Consistent: Ken Anderson (-0.03%)
 
Yards per Attempt
Worst Decline: Joe Ferguson (-0.89)
Best Increase: Tony Banks (+0.94)
Most Consistent: Gus Frerotte (0.00)
 
Win %
Worst Decline: Daunte Culpepper (-.202)
Best Increase: Trent Green (+.191)
Most Consistent: Kurt Warner (-0.001)
 

Comparing the Two Lists

The following is a key comparison between the averages of the two lists. Not included above were touchdown pass percentage (TD%) and interception percentage (INT%). They are included here.
 
Averages Active 1978-2010
F7 Comp. % 60.8 58.4
L9 Comp. % 59.8 57.4
F7 YPA 7.13 7.05
L9 YPA 6.95 6.96
F7 PR 85.2 79.5
L9 PR 82.7 78.2
F7 INT% 2.89 3.50
L9 INT% 2.90 3.50
F7 TD% 4.43 4.18
L9 TD% 4.17 4.15
Comp. % DIFF -0.98 -0.99
YPA DIFF -0.18 -0.08
PR DIFF -2.47 -1.31
INT% DIFF 0.01 -0.01
TD% DIFF -0.26 -0.03
 
Interception numbers were surprisingly consistent among both groups and each split. The active TD% is down, which can explain the larger decrease in passer rating. Amazingly, both groups saw about a 1% drop in completion percentage in the last 9 games. YPA was only about a tenth lower for the actives.
 

Conclusion

Generally speaking, numbers do decline on average in the last 9 games of the season. However, interceptions and touchdowns are fairly constant, and the declines in key efficiency stats such as YPA, completion percentage and passer rating are not by a significant number. The 1% difference in completion percentage can be fixed by just 2-3 more completions (total). That's it.
 
There are some very interesting names to come out of the lists of best and worst declines. While it’s good to see old quarterbacks remain very consistent at passer rating, such as Elway, Young, Kelly and Aikman, you also see Joey Harrington and Jeff George right in the mix.
 
What would a fan want out of their quarterback? Is it better to improve as the season goes along, or would you rather have the player that is fairly consistent all year round?
 
As for Eli, make note that Phil Simms kept his numbers consistent. Kerry Collins, when he was with the Giants (1999-2003), saw his numbers improve in the last 9 games of the season. Mark Sanchez plays in the same stadium and he sees a slight increase as well in the last 9 games. There’s not any noticeable New York effect.
 
The only quarterbacks to see the kind of statistical declines like Eli are Joe Ferguson and Ryan Fitzpatrick. They both played for Buffalo. However, Jim Kelly was a very consistent quarterback for the Bills. Fitzpatrick is an odd case, who may very well rewrite his history with his new semi-franchise quarterback contract.
 
Earlier this week Eli’s second-half declines seemed interesting. Now after further review, they look historically bad. With such a difficult schedule coming up, one wouldn’t necessarily fault Eli for some regression this season. But at some point, if you want to be a great player, you need to back it up beyond the month of October. Manning has a Super Bowl ring, but that’s also the only season where he has won a playoff game. To be in the elite class, consistently elite performance is required.
 
To this point everything we’ve shown you has been career cumulative stats. We’ll leave you with a look at Eli’s individual seasons compared to the usual top quarterbacks in the game today. This time red indicates the last 9 games of that season. Non-starter seasons excluded.
 

Eli Manning

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
2005 5-2 115 225 51.11 1560 6.93 13 5 83.6
2005 6-3 179 332 53.92 2202 6.63 11 12 70.6
2006 5-2 143 233 61.37 1672 7.18 14 8 88.9
2006 3-6 158 289 54.67 1572 5.44 10 10 67.4
2007 5-2 137 227 60.35 1525 6.72 13 9 82.9
2007 5-4 160 302 52.98 1811 6.00 10 11 67.1
2008 6-1 137 223 61.43 1588 7.12 9 4 88.9
2008 6-3 152 256 59.38 1650 6.45 12 6 84.3
2009 5-2 120 203 59.11 1633 8.04 12 6 92.3
2009 3-6 197 306 64.38 2388 7.80 15 8 93.7
2010 5-2 157 239 65.69 1785 7.47 14 11 88.3
2010 5-4 182 300 60.67 2217 7.39 17 14 82.9
2011 5-2 156 241 64.73 2127 8.83 13 5 102.1
 

Philip Rivers

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
2006 5-2 139 210 66.19 1536 7.31 10 3 97.6
2006 9-0 145 250 58.00 1852 7.41 12 6 87.3
2007 4-3 123 189 65.08 1442 7.63 10 7 90.3
2007 7-2 154 271 56.83 1710 6.31 11 8 77.0
2008 3-4 124 194 63.92 1697 8.75 16 5 108.5
2008 5-4 188 284 66.20 2312 8.14 18 6 103.5
2009 4-3 142 238 59.66 2036 8.55 11 4 95.9
2009 9-0 175 248 70.56 2218 8.94 17 5 112.6
2010 2-5 171 270 63.33 2344 8.68 13 6 97.8
2010 7-2 186 271 68.63 2366 8.73 17 7 105.8
2011 4-3 167 259 64.48 2084 8.05 7 11 80.7
 

Peyton Manning

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
1998 1-6 131 240 54.58 1595 6.65 9 14 63.5
1998 2-7 195 335 58.21 2144 6.40 17 14 76.8
1999 5-2 145 243 59.67 1992 8.20 14 8 91.5
1999 8-1 186 290 64.14 2143 7.39 12 7 90.1
2000 5-2 161 247 65.18 2150 8.70 15 7 101.1
2000 5-4 196 324 60.49 2263 6.98 18 8 89.8
2001 4-3 149 227 65.64 1824 8.04 13 9 92.8
2001 2-7 194 320 60.63 2307 7.21 13 14 78.0
2002 4-3 170 258 65.89 1798 6.97 12 10 85.4
2002 6-3 222 333 66.67 2402 7.21 15 9 91.4
2003 6-1 161 233 69.10 1862 7.99 15 5 105.5
2003 6-3 218 333 65.47 2405 7.22 14 5 94.5
2004 4-3 156 240 65.00 2161 9.00 22 4 117.4
2004 8-1 180 257 70.04 2396 9.32 27 6 124.6
2005 7-0 139 204 68.14 1551 7.60 11 5 98.3
2005 7-2 166 249 66.67 2196 8.82 17 5 108.8
2006 7-0 163 245 66.53 1965 8.02 15 2 108.0
2006 5-4 199 312 63.78 2432 7.79 16 7 95.5
2007 7-0 152 232 65.52 1833 7.90 13 3 102.9
2007 6-3 185 283 65.37 2207 7.80 18 11 94.1
2008 3-4 162 265 61.13 1754 6.62 10 9 79.0
2008 9-0 209 290 72.07 2248 7.75 17 3 109.7
2009 7-0 187 263 71.10 2227 8.47 15 4 109.3
2009 7-2 206 308 66.88 2273 7.38 18 12 91.8
2010 5-2 197 299 65.89 2184 7.30 15 2 101.4
2010 5-4 253 380 66.58 2516 6.62 18 15 84.5
 

Aaron Rodgers

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
2008 4-3 145 221 65.61 1668 7.55 12 4 98.8
2008 2-7 196 315 62.22 2370 7.52 16 9 90.3
2009 4-3 147 225 65.33 1989 8.84 14 2 110.4
2009 7-2 203 316 64.24 2445 7.74 16 5 98.1
2010 4-3 150 235 63.83 1841 7.83 12 9 89.0
2010 6-2 162 240 67.50 2081 8.67 16 2 113.2
2011 7-0 171 239 71.55 2372 9.92 20 3 125.7
 

Tom Brady

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
2001 3-3 104 169 61.54 1069 6.33 7 4 83.7
2001 8-1 160 244 65.57 1774 7.27 11 8 88.4
2002 3-4 185 289 64.01 1879 6.50 15 9 86.8
2002 6-3 188 312 60.26 1885 6.04 13 5 84.7
2003 5-2 133 221 60.18 1462 6.62 8 7 78.7
2003 9-0 184 306 60.13 2158 7.05 15 5 91.1
2004 6-1 129 215 60.00 1660 7.72 13 7 90.8
2004 8-1 159 259 61.39 2032 7.85 15 7 94.0
2005 4-3 157 249 63.05 2020 8.11 9 4 93.8
2005 6-3 177 281 62.99 2090 7.44 17 10 90.9
2006 6-1 135 232 58.19 1598 6.89 14 4 92.2
2006 6-3 184 284 64.79 1931 6.80 10 8 84.4
2007 7-0 169 229 73.80 2125 9.28 27 2 137.9
2007 9-0 229 349 65.62 2681 7.68 23 6 103.6
2009 5-2 179 273 65.57 2032 7.44 15 4 99.9
2009 5-4 192 292 65.75 2366 8.10 13 9 92.6
2010 6-1 147 225 65.33 1602 7.12 12 4 96.6
2010 8-1 177 267 66.29 2298 8.61 24 0 123.2
2011 5-2 184 272 67.65 2361 8.68 18 8 104.4
 

Ben Roethlisberger

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
2004 5-1 96 137 70.07 1133 8.27 9 4 104.7
2004 8-0 100 158 63.29 1488 9.42 8 7 92.5
2005 5-1 79 130 60.77 1183 9.10 11 2 112.4
2005 4-2 89 138 64.49 1202 8.71 6 7 85.5
2006 1-5 112 180 62.22 1346 7.48 6 11 70.7
2006 6-3 168 289 58.13 2167 7.50 12 12 78.3
2007 5-2 124 192 64.58 1533 7.98 15 6 102.2
2007 5-3 140 212 66.04 1621 7.65 17 5 105.9
2008 5-2 109 181 60.22 1352 7.47 10 7 85.7
2008 7-2 172 288 59.72 1949 6.77 7 8 76.6
2009 5-2 164 233 70.39 2062 8.85 11 6 102.6
2009 4-4 173 273 63.37 2266 8.30 15 6 98.6
2010 2-1 52 82 63.41 754 9.20 5 2 103.4
2010 7-2 188 307 61.24 2446 7.97 12 3 95.3
2011 5-2 147 234 62.82 1937 8.28 12 6 95.3
2011 1-0 36 50 72.00 365 7.30 2 1 97.5
 

Drew Brees

Year Record Comp. Attempts Pct. Yards YPA TD INT Rating
2002 6-1 127 204 62.25 1332 6.53 9 6 83.6
2002 2-7 193 322 59.94 1952 6.06 8 10 72.6
2003 1-6 139 239 58.16 1401 5.86 7 11 65.6
2003 1-3 66 117 56.41 707 6.04 4 4 71.4
2004 4-3 116 181 64.09 1316 7.27 9 3 95.5
2004 7-1 146 219 66.67 1843 8.42 18 4 112.5
2005 3-4 128 199 64.32 1505 7.56 10 6 91.4
2005 6-3 195 301 64.78 2071 6.88 14 9 87.8
2006 5-2 162 252 64.29 1892 7.51 11 7 89.9
2006 5-4 194 302 64.24 2526 8.36 15 4 101.5
2007 3-4 190 286 66.43 1730 6.05 9 10 78.6
2007 4-5 250 366 68.31 2693 7.36 19 8 97.9
2008 3-4 180 263 68.44 2224 8.46 12 7 98.5
2008 5-4 233 372 62.63 2845 7.65 22 10 94.7
2009 7-0 157 230 68.26 2006 8.72 16 6 107.6
2009 6-2 206 284 72.54 2382 8.39 18 5 111.3
2010 4-3 200 287 69.69 2029 7.07 14 10 91.4
2010 7-2 248 371 66.85 2591 6.98 19 12 90.5
2011 5-2 212 299 70.90 2477 8.28 18 8 104.6
2011 0-1 30 44 68.18 269 6.11 1 2 73.0
 

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