Stat Pack Week 14: Flexing His Big-Game Russell -- Again

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Dec 05, 2013

Stat Pack Week 14

By Adam Dobrowolski
Cold, Hard Football Facts Chief Mathletics Advisor


For all those feeling deja vu last Monday night against New Orleans, don't worry about seeing a neurologist. You weren't alone. It was yet another game in which a top game came into Qwest Field in primetime. It was yet another game in which the 12th Man and the Legion of Boom shut down their opponent. And most importantly, it was yet another game in which Russell Wilson proved that he's one of the best quarterbacks in a big-game situation.

As a result, he's proven to be the best quarterback EVER through his first two seasons. No kidding, not even when compared Dan Marino's 48 touchdown passes as a second-year player.

While Marino can say he put together one of the best seasons ever with his 1984 campaign, he can't say that looked regression square in the eye and toppled it just any other opponent that traveled to the Great Northwest. DangeRuss can possibly say that after his 120+ Real Quarterback Rating against the Saints moves Seattle one step closer to Mathletics history.

As Stat Pack host Adam Dobrowolski explains, the 2013 Seahawks were due for regression. They put up a 100+ Offensive Passer Rating in 2012, and no team ever improved its OPR the year after putting up triple digits in that stat. However, along with the Broncos and their historic success, the Seahawks are on pace to improve their passer rating from 100.58 to 109.77 this year.

What's even more impressive is that Wilson's led the way in the toughest of fashion, and that's by being deadly efficient against quality opponents. We first discussed this matter on Stat Pack in preview of last year's second Seahawks-49ers showdown of the season. We take a look at it again in preview of this year's second Seahawks-49ers showdown of the season.

Once the dust settled in 2012, though, the numbers looked even better. Wilson put together a 106.23 passer rating against eight quality opponents, including two postseason games. This year? In five games against quality opponents, Wilson owns a 107.04 passer rating. It's hard to envision any other quarterback breaking regression in this fashion, let alone a second-year quarterback.

The more detailed numbers looks as so:

  • 2012, rookie year: 6-2 record, 128-of-215 for 1754 yards, 17 TD, 3 INT (106.23 rating)
  • 2013, second year: 4-1 record, 88-of-142 for 1217 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT (107.04 rating)
  • OVERALL: 10-3 record, 216-of-357 for 2971 yards, 27 TD, 5 INT (106.55 rating)

Keep doubting Russell Wilson as one of the best, as your own risk. Even with the most tried and true testimonies from regression to the mean, Wilson is still proving the doubts wrong.

Beyond that topic, a look back to Week 13 addresses the continuing stink from the Jets pass D and the continuing success of the CHFF-exclusive King of Props. (For the former, we're thinking that this stench might be more pesky and pungent than whatever still lies in Jerry Seinfeld's car.)

As for the look ahead to Week 14, the topics include a ranking of the six best games. This includes three battles between top-10 teams, according to our Quality Stat Power Rankings.

Make sure to check out this week's six pack of topics on Stat Pack!


For those who are interested in checking out bits and pieces of this week's podcasts, every edition will include a "playlist" of sorts breaking down every segment from the podcast.

2:05 -- Mathletics: Wilson's Big-Game Russell

12:05 -- Week 13 Big Board Highlights

18:45 -- King of Props Week 13 Review

21:50 -- The Stat Pack Week 14 Power Rankings

27:55 -- Week 14 Preview via the Intelligence Index

31:25 -- Six Pack of Top Games for Week 14

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