Stat Pack: Seahawks with Super Bowl Credentials?

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Nov 15, 2012

Stat Pack Podcast

Another week, another opportunity to statistically remind everyone that the Falcons aren't all that they are made up to be. (Not that there's any personal grudge against the Falcons. Remember, we here at Cold, Hard Football Facts have mutated enough not to feel basic human emotion.) This time, the radar focuses on Matt Ryan, who was once upon a time the top MVP candidate on the Stat Pack.

Host Adam Dobrowolski argues that given Ryan's competition, his stats shouldn't be considered MVP worthy. Of note, Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers are outplaying the competition twice and thrice as much as Ryan, respectively, per the relativity factor of Offensive Passer Rating.

While Matty Ice's MVP credentials take assault, the Seahawks go under the microscope as well. Do they have the true makings of a Super Bowl contender? Does the Russell Wilson factor truly limit Seattle's chances? Are the Seahawks limiting themselves by limiting Wilson? Finally, how much does 1-4 start on the road hurt the team on the contenders' scale?

Also, Dobrowolski brings back an old friend as he presents the first week of Mathletics on Stat Pack. He looks at six factors of regression from Week 10, including some turnover regression he predicted last week for the Bears and a rare day of efficient scoring for the Cowboys.

For those who are interested in checking out bits and pieces of this week's podcasts, every edition will include a "playlist" of sorts breaking down every segment from the podcast.

0:00 to 28:20 -- Six Pack of Statements

  • 1:00 -- Why Matt Ryan isn't a top five MVP candidate
  • 5:05 -- Why you shouldn't buy into the Cowboys' win in Philly
  • 8:40 -- Why the Texans-Bears slugfest was great for the NFL
  • 13:10 -- Why the Rams-49ers played the worst tie game in recent NFL history
  • 17:30 -- What precedent predicts for the Seahawks' Super Bowl chances
  • 24:25 -- Why you shouldn't overvalue the Bengals' blowout win over the Giants

27:55 to 33:50 -- Six Pack of "Mathletics" Regression (Titans scoring defense, Andy Dalton's interception streak, Bears turnover margin, Chiefs time ahead, Colts takeaways, Cowboys Scoreability)

33:50 to 37:45 -- Six Pack of the NFL's Best Teams (Houston Texans, Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Atlanta Falcons, Green Bay Packers, San Francisco 49ers)

37:45 to 47:30 -- Six Pack of Intriguing Match-ups in Week 11 (Aaron Rodgers v. Matt Stafford in fantasy football, Andrew Luck v. Patriots pass D, Nick Foles v. Redskins pass D, Chargers at Broncos in an epic collapse rematch, Bears at 49ers, Ravens at Steelers)

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