Smart Stat: Final 2013 Intelligence Index

Cold, Hard Football Facts for Jan 08, 2014



We created the Cold, Hard Football Facts Intelligence Index before the start of the season with two purposes in mind:

ONE – Quantify the importance of situational football, if possible, in separating winners from losers in the NFL.

TWO – Find a new way to break the statistical containment of the Vegas point spread and outrun the betting public.

It proved a rousing success: smart teams consistently won and won big; dumb teams consistently lost and lost big.

You can read all the statistical highlights of the 2013 Intelligence Index and our 39 Mental Mismatches right here.

In the meantime, here are the year-end results.


Final 2013 Intelligence Index

  TeamBendScore I.I. RecordRecord ATS
1Kansas City19.312.55+6.75 11-5 9-7
2Carolina20.013.85+6.15 12-4 9-6-1
3Seattle18.9513.01+5.94 13-3 11-5
4San Francisco18.8312.91+5.92 12-4 10-5-1
5New England17.6613.86+3.8 12-4 8-8
6Indianapolis17.013.98+3.02 11-5 9-6-1
7Dallas15.3812.44+2.94 8-8 9-7
8Cincinnati16.0313.71+2.32 11-5 10-5-1
9Denver14.2812.07+2.21 13-3 10-6
10Philadelphia16.5115.1+1.41 10-6 8-8
11Miami17.1615.8+1.36 8-8 9-7
12St. Louis15.1614.01+1.15 7-9 7-9
13Arizona15.6814.62+1.06 10-6 10-5-1
14San Diego16.8515.89+0.96 9-7 9-6-1
15New Orleans16.0915.44+0.65 11-5 8-7-1
16Pittsburgh14.5814.25+0.33 8-8 9-7
17Baltimore15.2515.37-0.12 8-8 7-8-1
18Chicago13.2113.73-0.52 8-8 4-10-2
19Tennessee14.1914.89-0.7 7-9 6-6-4
20Minnesota13.2614.09-0.83 5-10-1 9-7
21Tampa Bay14.3115.39-1.08 4-12 6-10
22Detroit14.7515.88-1.13 7-9 6-10
23Green Bay13.9215.36-1.44 8-7-1 6-10
24Atlanta13.9115.47-1.56 4-12 7-9
25Buffalo13.7515.96-2.21 6-10 8-8
26N.Y. Giants13.8816.73-2.85 7-9 7-9
27N.Y. Jets13.8517.55-3.7 8-8 9-6-1
28Oakland12.8516.58-3.73 4-12 8-8
29Cleveland13.117.61-4.51 4-12 6-10
30Jacksonville13.5219.03-5.51 4-12 5-10-1
31Washington11.8517.71-5.86 3-13 5-11
32Houston11.8720.13-8.26 2-14 4-12







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