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Bonzo speaks: Patriots will go 3-13
Cold, Hard Football Facts for September 5, 2007
By Jonathan Comey
Cold, Hard Football Facts soothsayer
Truth be told, we're not really that fond of season predictions.
Like they tell you to do in the NFL, we take them one game at a time. When you live and die by the Cold, Hard Football Facts, making long, sweeping assumptions based on supposition and hearsay makes little sense.
We hate supposition and hearsay. What are we, People Magazine?
Of course, we do expect our picks to be as rock-solid as any in the business. Quite honestly, we'll put our track record up against anybody's. But we don't even have to size up our picks. King Kaufman of Salon.com did it for us last year at this time. He found that our 2005 picks bested those of every single major and minor sports web site out there. Here, read it for yourself: "Another victory over the 'pundits'". Not sure how we stacked up in 2006, but we'll let you know if Kaufman comes up with a look back at last season's "pundits."
With that said, we're not at all sure we'll do better than a prognosticating monkey, a video-game console, or the most respected voice in sports journalism.
Freakin' monkey hasn't cashed his checks for two years, and the ladies in bookkeeping are pissed. Bonzo made his preseason picks by drawing records and team names out of a checkered houndstooth fedora. This took quite a long time because of Bonzo's addiction to shit-flinging, but we were able to keep him focused long enough to add his playoff picks before dozing off in his cage, fitfully.
We love the goofy little bastard, even though he managed to pick the Patriots to finish 3-13 and likes the Giants and Falcons to take the top seeds in the NFC. Only in a monkey's world? Or magical apery? We'll see.
While Bonzo was resting, our 16-year-old intern Melvin kept begging to bring his Madden 2K8 into the mix, offering to run a season of simulations, with the real NFL rosters and coaching strategies, and record the outcome. We told him that video games were for little kids, then realized he was one. But he talked us into it -- hell, if you brought Madden 2K8 back in time to the pre-Beatles era, you'd probably be hung for witchcraft. It's pretty amazing, the Madden, and the season Melvin simulated was quite thought-provoking -- Seahawks over Jaguars, in the end, which wouldn't exactly be a dream matchup for NFL marketers.
Good job, kid! You might get laid yet, and at the very least you'll get some before we see a Seattle-Jacksonville Super Bowl.
Then there's Sports Illustrated, which has been doing this type of thing for five decades. Someone's got to be considered the No. 1 voice, and for our money it's SI. We wish we were cool enough to be known exclusively be our nickname, as "Dr. Z" is. And Peter King, like him or not, is the leading national voice on the NFL. SI always seems to want to go out on a limb a bit (with little success), and this year they go with Saints over Chargers.
An interesting pick, especially if you like the phrase "offense wins championships."
And then there's the Cold, Hard Football Facts, your not-so-humble channeler of all things pigskin. We picked a Patriots-Panthers Super Bowl in 2006, which might have been right in some alternate universe but not this one. Our pick for 2007 is as boring as a box of rocks: Patriots over the Bears.
It's kind of a trendy pick, even a bit cliche. But in this case the Cold, Hard Football, at least at this point in the year, make it a rock-solid selection.
But like we said, we hate predictions.
We'll revisit these picks down the road and see which set was most accurate.We'll start with ours, including (spoiler alert) our pointless and punchless playoff predictions. Please refer our playoff preview for more detailed looks at each team -- the thing took us long, sweaty hours to produce, time we could have spent chasing skirts or drinking until we couldn't feel feelings anymore.
On with the picks:
OUR PICKS
AFC East
1. New England 12-4
2. Miami 9-7
3. New York Jets 9-7
4. Buffalo 5-11
AFC North
1. Baltimore 11-5
2. Pittsburgh 10-6
3. Cleveland 7-9
4. Cincinnati 4-12
AFC South
1. Jacksonville 11-5
2. Indianapolis 10-6 WC
3. Tennessee 6-10
4. Houston 5-11
AFC West
1. San Diego 11-5
2. Denver 11-5 WC
3. Kansas City 7-9
4. Oakland 5-11
NFC East
1. Philadelphia 11-5
2. Dallas 9-7
3. Washington 7-9
4. New York Giants 5-11
NFC North
1. Chicago 14-2
2. Detroit 7-9
3. Green Bay 6-10
4. Minnesota 5-11
NFC South
1. Carolina 9-7
2. New Orleans 9-7 WC
3. Tampa Bay 6-10
4. Atlanta 3-13
NFC West
1. San Francisco 10-6
2. Seattle 10-6 WC
3. St. Louis 8-8
4. Arizona 6-10
PLAYOFFS
AFC:
Indianapolis over Baltimore
San Diego over Denver
New England over Indy
Jacksonville over San Diego
New England over Jacksonville
NFC:
San Francisco over New Orleans
Seattle over Carolina
Chicago over Philadelphia
Seattle over San Francisco
Chicago over Seattle
Super Bowl Champion: PATRIOTS over BEARS
BONZO'S PICKS
AFC East
1. New York Jets 10-6
2. Miami 8-8
3. Buffalo 6-10
4. New England 3-13
AFC North
1. Baltimore 12-4
2. Cincinnati 10-6 WC
3. Cleveland 9-7
4. Pittsburgh 7-9
AFC South
1. Tennessee 12-4
2. Indianapolis 10-6 WC
3. Jacksonville 8-8
4. Houston 6-10
AFC West
1. San Diego 10-6
2. Kansas City 8-8
3. Oakland 7-9
4. Denver 6-10
NFC East
1. New York Giants 14-2
2. Washington 9-7 WC
3. Dallas 8-8
4. Philadelphia 7-9
NFC North
1. Minnesota 9-7
2. Detroit 8-8
3. Chicago 7-9
4. Green Bay 5-11
NFC South
1. Carolina 13-3
2. New Orleans 11-5 WC
3. Atlanta 7-9
4. Tampa Bay 5-11
NFC West
1. Arizona 9-7
2. San Francisco 5-11
3. St. Louis 4-12
4. Seattle 3-13
PLAYOFFS
AFC:
New York over Cincinnati
Indianapolis over San Diego
Baltimore over Indianapolis
Tennessee over New York
Tennessee over Baltimore
NFC:
Arizona over Washington
New Orleans over Minnesota
New York over New Orleans
Carolina over Arizona
Carolina over New York
Champion: TITANS over PANTHERS
MADDEN 2k8 SIMULATION
AFC East
1. Miami 11-5
2. New England 9-7
3. New York Jets 7-9
4. Buffalo 4-12
AFC North
1. Cincinnati 10-6
2. Pittsburgh 9-7
3. Baltimore 8-8
4. Cleveland 4-12
AFC South
1. Jacksonville 11-5
2. Indianapolis 9-7
3. Houston 4-12
4. Tennessee 4-12
AFC West
1. Denver 12-4
2. San Diego 12-4 WC
3. Kansas City 12-3 WC
4. Oakland 2-14
NFC East
1. Dallas 13-3
2. Philadelphia 10-6 WC
3. Washington 8-8
4. New York Giants 8-8
NFC North
1. Chicago 9-7
2. Detroit 6-10
3. Green Bay 5-11
4. Minnesota 2-14
NFC South
1. Tampa Bay 11-5
2. Atlanta 9-7
3. Carolina 8-8
4. New Orleans 5-11
NFC West
1. Seattle 11-5
2. St. Louis 9-7 WC
3. San Francisco 8-8
4. Arizona 6-10
PLAYOFFS
AFC:
Jacksonville over Kansas City
Cincinnati over San Diego
Cincinnati over Denver
Jacksonville over Miami
Jacksonville over Cincinnati
NFC:
St. Louis over Tampa Bay
Philadelphia over Chicago
St. Louis over Dallas
Seattle over Philadelphia
Seattle over St. Louis
Champion: SEAHAWKS over JAGUARS
SI's PICKS
AFC East
1. New England 12-4
2. New York Jets 9-7
3. Buffalo 8-8
4. Miami 5-11
AFC North
1. Cincinnati 10-6
2. Baltimore 10-6
3. Pittsburgh 8-8
4. Cleveland 5-11
AFC South
1. Indianapolis 12-4
2. Tennessee 8-8
3. Jacksonville 8-8
4. Houston 6-10
AFC West
1. San Diego 11-5
2. Denver 10-6 WC
3. Kansas City 7-9
4. Oakland 4-12
NFC East
1. Philadelphia 11-5
2. Dallas 9-7
3. Washington 6-10
4. New York Giants 6-10
NFC North
1. Chicago 11-5
2. Minnesota 6-10
3. Green Bay 6-10
4. Detroit 4-12
NFC South
1. New Orleans 12-4
2. Carolina 11-5 WC
3. Tampa Bay 5-11
4. Atlanta 3-13
NFC West
1. Seattle 9-7
2. St. Louis 9-7
3. San Francisco 8-8
4. Arizona 7-9
PLAYOFFS
AFC:
San Diego over Denver
Cincinnati over Baltimore
Indianapolis over Cincinnati
San Diego over New England
San Diego over Indianapolis
NFC:
Chicago over Dallas
Carolina over Seattle
New Orleans over Carolina
Philadelphia over Chicago
New Orleans over Philadelphia
SUPER BOWL: SAINTS over CHARGERS
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